Carvana (CVNA) Stock Insights
$64.77B
Market Cap
20.68
P/E
36.60
Forward P/E
59
Score
CVNA price $59.05 -0.18 -0.30%
Stocklytics score rationale: value 46, quality 56, growth 76.
| 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 365148000 | 858870000 | 1955467000 | 3939896000 | 5586565000 | 12814000000 | 13604000000 | 10771000000 | 13673000000 | 20322000000 |
Carvana Co., along with its subsidiaries, operates a digital platform facilitating the purchase and sale of pre-owned vehicles across the United States. Their comprehensive services span the entire customer journey, including sourcing and reconditioning automobiles, providing an intuitive online browsing and transaction experience, offering financing solutions, and supplying complementary products. The company also…
CVNA fair value $47.06. Price $59.05. Price is 25% above fair value.
Below fair value, and cheaper than usual. A larger discount than on 95% of days in the past 5 years.
Fair value is an estimate of what one share is worth if future cash flows arrive as modeled. It is not a forecast of the share price. How discounted cash flow works.
Calculated with a 10-year free-cash-flow discount. Starting free cash flow 810.67M. Growth 20.00%. When analyst earnings forecasts are available, free cash flow in those years is forecast earnings times the company's usual conversion of earnings into free cash flow, kept between 60% and 130%. Years with fewer than 3 analyst estimates are left out. Growth then fades in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10, starting from the last well-covered year's growth, or from the pace across those years when the final year slows sharply, kept between 0% and 20%. Without those forecasts, year-1 growth is analyst revenue growth for the next full fiscal year, or 5-year historical revenue growth when that forecast is missing, held for five years, then fading in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10. Terminal growth 3.00%. Discount rate 12.00% (beta 2.0). Beta is kept between 0.8 and 2.0, which on its own would make the discount rate 8.7% to 15.3%. The rate is then capped at 12%. A cap is used because a discount above 12% pushes higher-beta stocks further from the price. The discount rate stays at least 5 percentage points above terminal growth. Shares 1.10B. Net debt 3.19B. The earnings value is next-12-months earnings per share, or trailing earnings when that forecast is missing, times the median P/E of the company's industry. That median uses listed stocks worth at least $10 billion with a positive P/E of 100 or below, and the industry needs at least eight of them. Otherwise the sector median is used when that group also has at least eight, then the market median of those large companies. The multiple used is the lower of that median and 1.25 times the stock's own 10-year median P/E, then kept between 8 and 30. If the stock has no 10-year median, the peer median is kept between 8 and 30. Fair value is the average of the cash-flow value and the earnings value when both exist. Card and credit companies use the earnings value only, because changes in customer receivables distort free cash flow. Model uncertainty is high when fair value is more than 60% from the price, or when most of the cash-flow value sits after year 10.
| Date | EPS actual | EPS estimate | Revenue | Revenue estimate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-28 | 0.39 | 0.44 | 8.04B | 7.71B |
| 2026-07-29 | 0.42 | 0.39 | 7.38B | 6.90B |
| 2026-04-29 | 0.34 | 0.32 | 6.43B | 6.12B |
| 2026-02-18 | 0.84 | 0.23 | 5.60B | 5.27B |
| 2025-10-29 | 0.21 | 0.27 | 5.65B | 5.11B |
| 2025-07-30 | 0.26 | 0.23 | 4.84B | 4.58B |
| 2025-05-07 | 0.30 | 0.73 | 4.23B | 4.00B |
| 2025-02-19 | 0.11 | 0.29 | 3.55B | 3.32B |
| 2024-10-30 | 0.13 | 0.23 | 3.65B | 3.47B |
| 2024-07-31 | 0.03 | -0.04 | 3.41B | 3.26B |
| 2024-05-01 | 0.23 | -0.67 | 3.06B | 2.70B |
| 2024-02-22 | -0.20 | -0.85 | 2.42B | 2.56B |
| 2023-11-02 | 0.05 | -0.79 | 2.77B | 2.81B |
| 2023-07-19 | -0.11 | -1.15 | 2.97B | 2.61B |
| 2023-05-04 | -0.30 | -2.00 | 2.61B | 2.64B |
| 2023-02-23 | -0.19 | -2.18 | 2.84B | 3.06B |
| 2022-11-03 | -0.53 | -1.90 | 3.39B | 3.70B |
| 2022-08-04 | -0.47 | -1.93 | 3.88B | 3.97B |
| 2022-04-20 | -0.58 | -1.44 | 3.50B | 3.40B |
| 2022-02-24 | -0.20 | -0.79 | 3.75B | 3.52B |
| 2021-11-04 | -0.08 | -0.27 | 3.48B | 3.22B |
| 2021-08-05 | 0.05 | -0.37 | 3.34B | 2.46B |
| 2021-05-06 | -0.09 | -0.67 | 2.25B | 1.83B |
| 2021-02-25 | -0.08 | -0.47 | 1.83B | 1.51B |
| 2020-10-29 | -0.02 | -0.29 | 1.54B | 4.94B |
| 2020-08-05 | -0.12 | -0.82 | 1.12B | 1.50B |
| 2020-05-06 | -0.24 | -0.62 | 1.10B | 887.76M |
| 2020-02-26 | -0.16 | -0.62 | 1.10B | 880.08M |
| 2019-11-06 | -0.11 | -0.39 | 1.09B | 782.04M |
| 2019-08-07 | -0.08 | -0.42 | 986.22M | 1.04B |
| 2019-05-08 | -0.11 | -0.47 | 755.23M | 669.74M |
| 2019-02-27 | -0.11 | -0.09 | 584.84M | 521.04M |
| 2018-11-07 | -0.08 | -0.34 | 534.92M | 494.80M |
| 2018-08-08 | -0.07 | -0.33 | 475.29M | 449.59M |
| 2018-05-09 | -0.08 | -0.40 | 360.42M | 360.42M |
| 2018-03-06 | -0.07 | -0.07 | 265.05M | 250.33M |
| 2017-11-07 | -0.06 | -0.30 | 225.38M | 233.15M |
| 2017-08-08 | -0.06 | -0.30 | 209.37M | 224.32M |
| 2017-06-06 | -0.06 | -0.06 | 159.07M | — |
| 2017-04-29 | -1.16 | — | 106.83M | — |
Yield 0.00%. Payout ratio 0.00%. Frequency —.
Safety score 37/100 · Watch. Payout ratio is 0% of earnings. Free-cash-flow coverage is not available, so this part stays neutral. No dividend history was found. There is no dividend yield.
| Ex-date | Dividend | Record | Payment | Frequency |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No data yet. | ||||
| Date | Insider | Action | Shares | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-12 | Taira Thomas | Sell | 5.60K | $65.00 | 363.81K |
| 2026-10-01 | KEETON RYAN S. | Sell | 2.88K | $63.04 | 181.74K |
| 2026-10-01 | GARCIA ERNEST C. III | Sell | 7.07K | $63.04 | 445.50K |
| 2026-10-01 | Palmer Stephen R | Sell | 3.02K | $63.04 | 190.44K |
| 2026-10-01 | Palmer Stephen R | Sell | 920 | $59.48 | 54.72K |
| 2026-10-01 | Palmer Stephen R | Sell | 840 | $60.75 | 51.03K |
| 2026-10-01 | Palmer Stephen R | Sell | 920 | $61.64 | 56.71K |
| 2026-10-01 | Palmer Stephen R | Sell | 2.32K | $62.82 | 145.74K |
| 2026-10-01 | HUSTON BENJAMIN E. | Sell | 7.02K | $63.04 | 442.29K |
| 2026-10-01 | BREAUX PAUL W. | Sell | 4.45K | $63.04 | 280.72K |
| 2026-10-01 | JENKINS MARK W. | Buy | 3.75K | $10.39 | 38.96K |
| 2026-10-01 | JENKINS MARK W. | Buy | 10.00K | $8.41 | 84.10K |
| 2026-10-01 | JENKINS MARK W. | Sell | 10.44K | $59.44 | 620.55K |
| 2026-10-01 | JENKINS MARK W. | Buy | 50.00K | $2.01 | 100.50K |
| 2026-10-01 | JENKINS MARK W. | Sell | 9.36K | $60.60 | 567.34K |
| 2026-10-01 | JENKINS MARK W. | Sell | 13.32K | $61.47 | 818.66K |
| 2026-10-01 | JENKINS MARK W. | Sell | 24.76K | $62.73 | 1.55M |
| 2026-10-01 | JENKINS MARK W. | Sell | 7.02K | $63.04 | 442.29K |
| 2026-10-01 | JENKINS MARK W. | Sell | 5.87K | $63.04 | 369.98K |
| 2026-10-01 | JENKINS MARK W. | Sell | 50.00K | $2.01 | 100.50K |
| 2026-10-01 | JENKINS MARK W. | Sell | 10.00K | $8.41 | 84.10K |
| 2026-10-01 | JENKINS MARK W. | Sell | 3.75K | $10.39 | 38.96K |
| 2026-10-01 | GILL DANIEL J. | Sell | 7.71K | $63.04 | 485.85K |
| 2026-10-01 | Taira Thomas | Sell | 3.95K | $63.04 | 248.88K |
| 2026-09-14 | Taira Thomas | Sell | 2.68K | $70.05 | 187.73K |
| 2026-09-14 | Taira Thomas | Sell | 14.11K | $70.68 | 997.22K |
| 2026-09-01 | HUSTON BENJAMIN E. | Sell | 7.02K | $72.18 | 506.41K |
| 2026-09-01 | HUSTON BENJAMIN E. | Sell | 29.47K | $71.36 | 2.10M |
| 2026-09-01 | HUSTON BENJAMIN E. | Sell | 20.53K | $71.83 | 1.47M |
| 2026-09-01 | Palmer Stephen R | Sell | 3.02K | $72.18 | 218.20K |
| 2026-09-01 | Palmer Stephen R | Sell | 3.40K | $71.40 | 242.76K |
| 2026-09-01 | Palmer Stephen R | Sell | 1.60K | $71.88 | 115.01K |
| 2026-09-01 | BREAUX PAUL W. | Sell | 4.46K | $72.18 | 321.71K |
| 2026-09-01 | JENKINS MARK W. | Buy | 3.75K | $10.39 | 38.96K |
| 2026-09-01 | JENKINS MARK W. | Buy | 10.00K | $8.41 | 84.10K |
| 2026-09-01 | JENKINS MARK W. | Buy | 50.00K | $2.01 | 100.50K |
| 2026-09-01 | JENKINS MARK W. | Sell | 37.41K | $71.36 | 2.67M |
| 2026-09-01 | JENKINS MARK W. | Sell | 7.02K | $72.18 | 506.41K |
| 2026-09-01 | JENKINS MARK W. | Sell | 26.34K | $71.83 | 1.89M |
| 2026-09-01 | JENKINS MARK W. | Sell | 50.00K | $2.01 | 100.50K |
| 2026-09-01 | JENKINS MARK W. | Sell | 10.00K | $8.41 | 84.10K |
| 2026-09-01 | JENKINS MARK W. | Sell | 3.75K | $10.39 | 38.96K |
| 2026-09-01 | Taira Thomas | Sell | 3.95K | $72.18 | 285.04K |
| 2026-09-01 | KEETON RYAN S. | Sell | 2.88K | $72.18 | 207.81K |
| 2026-09-01 | GARCIA ERNEST C. III | Sell | 7.07K | $72.18 | 510.31K |
| 2026-09-01 | GILL DANIEL J. | Sell | 7.71K | $72.18 | 556.15K |
| 2026-08-14 | PLATT IRA J. | Buy | 15.00K | $3.00 | 45.00K |
| 2026-08-14 | PLATT IRA J. | Sell | 15.00K | $75.50 | 1.13M |
| 2026-08-14 | PLATT IRA J. | Sell | 15.00K | $3.00 | 45.00K |
| 2026-08-14 | QUAYLE J DANFORTH | Buy | 14.53K | $3.00 | 43.58K |
| 2026-08-14 | QUAYLE J DANFORTH | Sell | 14.53K | $75.00 | 1.09M |
| 2026-08-14 | QUAYLE J DANFORTH | Sell | 14.53K | $3.00 | 43.58K |
| 2026-08-13 | PLATT IRA J. | Sell | 15.00K | $73.00 | 1.09M |
| 2026-08-13 | PLATT IRA J. | Sell | 15.00K | $3.00 | 45.00K |
| 2026-08-03 | JENKINS MARK W. | Buy | 3.75K | $10.39 | 38.96K |
| 2026-08-03 | JENKINS MARK W. | Buy | 10.00K | $8.41 | 84.10K |
| 2026-08-03 | JENKINS MARK W. | Sell | 7.94K | $63.17 | 501.57K |
| 2026-08-03 | JENKINS MARK W. | Buy | 50.00K | $2.01 | 100.50K |
| 2026-08-03 | JENKINS MARK W. | Sell | 24.29K | $64.08 | 1.56M |
| 2026-08-03 | JENKINS MARK W. | Sell | 22.89K | $64.93 | 1.49M |
| 2026-08-03 | JENKINS MARK W. | Buy | 133.97K | — | — |
| 2026-08-03 | JENKINS MARK W. | Sell | 8.64K | $65.75 | 567.88K |
| 2026-08-03 | JENKINS MARK W. | Sell | 0 | $2.01 | 0 |
| 2026-08-03 | JENKINS MARK W. | Sell | 0 | $8.41 | 0 |
| 2026-08-03 | JENKINS MARK W. | Sell | 0 | $10.39 | 0 |
| 2026-08-03 | BREAUX PAUL W. | Buy | 85.34K | — | — |
| 2026-08-03 | Palmer Stephen R | Sell | 760 | $63.19 | 48.02K |
| 2026-08-03 | Palmer Stephen R | Sell | 2.28K | $64.22 | 146.42K |
| 2026-08-03 | Palmer Stephen R | Sell | 1.44K | $65.14 | 93.80K |
| 2026-08-03 | Palmer Stephen R | Sell | 520 | $65.82 | 34.23K |
| 2026-08-03 | KEETON RYAN S. | Buy | 56.74K | — | — |
| 2026-08-03 | GILL DANIEL J. | Buy | 119.88K | — | — |
| 2026-08-03 | GARCIA ERNEST C. III | Buy | 134.71K | — | — |
| 2026-08-03 | Taira Thomas | Buy | 80.55K | — | — |
| 2026-08-03 | HUSTON BENJAMIN E. | Buy | 133.97K | — | — |
| 2026-08-03 | HUSTON BENJAMIN E. | Sell | 6.32K | $63.18 | 399.30K |
| 2026-08-03 | HUSTON BENJAMIN E. | Sell | 22.14K | $64.14 | 1.42M |
| 2026-08-03 | HUSTON BENJAMIN E. | Sell | 15.92K | $65.06 | 1.04M |
| 2026-08-03 | HUSTON BENJAMIN E. | Sell | 5.62K | $65.81 | 369.59K |
| 2026-08-01 | JENKINS MARK W. | Sell | 7.02K | $62.36 | 437.64K |
| 2026-08-01 | BREAUX PAUL W. | Sell | 4.45K | $62.36 | 277.69K |
| 2026-08-01 | Palmer Stephen R | Sell | 3.02K | $62.36 | 188.64K |
| 2026-08-01 | KEETON RYAN S. | Sell | 2.88K | $62.36 | 179.66K |
| 2026-08-01 | GILL DANIEL J. | Sell | 7.71K | $62.36 | 480.61K |
| 2026-08-01 | GARCIA ERNEST C. III | Sell | 7.07K | $62.36 | 440.82K |
| 2026-08-01 | Taira Thomas | Sell | 3.95K | $62.36 | 246.20K |
| 2026-08-01 | HUSTON BENJAMIN E. | Sell | 7.02K | $62.36 | 437.64K |
| 2026-07-31 | MAROONE MICHAEL E | Buy | 3.85K | $62.40 | 240.05K |
| 2026-07-31 | MAROONE MICHAEL E | Buy | 21.15K | $61.69 | 1.30M |
| 2026-07-31 | MAROONE MICHAEL E | Buy | 3.85K | $62.40 | 240.05K |
| 2026-07-31 | MAROONE MICHAEL E | Buy | 21.15K | $61.69 | 1.30M |
| 2026-07-01 | BREAUX PAUL W. | Sell | 4.45K | $67.87 | 302.23K |
| 2026-07-01 | JENKINS MARK W. | Buy | 3.75K | $10.39 | 38.96K |
| 2026-07-01 | JENKINS MARK W. | Buy | 10.00K | $8.41 | 84.10K |
| 2026-07-01 | JENKINS MARK W. | Sell | 6.71K | $65.18 | 437.36K |
| 2026-07-01 | JENKINS MARK W. | Sell | 4.56K | $66.07 | 301.28K |
| 2026-07-01 | JENKINS MARK W. | Buy | 50.00K | $2.01 | 100.50K |
| 2026-07-01 | JENKINS MARK W. | Sell | 5.96K | $67.49 | 402.24K |
| 2026-07-01 | JENKINS MARK W. | Sell | 21.13K | $68.14 | 1.44M |
| 2026-07-01 | JENKINS MARK W. | Sell | 9.84K | $69.22 | 681.12K |
Latest filed quarter: Q2 2026.
Institutions holding: 905, holders +33 vs prior quarter. Ownership 104.48%.
| Holder | Shares | Change | Change % | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PRICE T ROWE ASSOCIATES INC /MD/ | 84.70M | 66.91M | +376.31% | 5.57B |
| CAPITAL RESEARCH GLOBAL INVESTORS | 63.42M | 52.57M | +484.52% | 4.17B |
| BLACKROCK, INC. | 48.49M | 36.96M | +320.52% | 3.19B |
| VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | 45.59M | 36.60M | +406.89% | 3.00B |
| FMR LLC | 33.60M | 26.16M | +351.26% | 2.21B |
| VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC | 32.15M | 25.81M | +406.58% | 2.12B |
| STATE STREET CORP | 29.44M | 23.74M | +417.05% | 1.94B |
| CITIGROUP INC | 25.00M | 24.75M | +9642.05% | 1.65B |
| CAPITAL INTERNATIONAL INVESTORS | 23.26M | 19.93M | +598.85% | 1.53B |
| CAS INVESTMENT PARTNERS, LLC | 22.56M | 18.02M | +396.77% | 1.48B |
| JANE STREET GROUP, LLC | 21.65M | 20.46M | +1711.68% | 1.43B |
| GREENOAKS LLC | 21.34M | 17.14M | +407.85% | 1.40B |
| CITADEL ADVISORS LLC | 20.43M | 18.34M | +876.25% | 1.34B |
| SUSQUEHANNA INTERNATIONAL GROUP, LLP | 18.90M | 16.47M | +679.79% | 1.24B |
| GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | 16.65M | 12.74M | +325.62% | 1.09B |
| CAPITAL WORLD INVESTORS | 14.20M | 11.59M | +445.03% | 934.66M |
| VIKING GLOBAL INVESTORS LP | 12.32M | 9.54M | +343.24% | 811.05M |
| SPRUCE HOUSE INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT LLC | 11.68M | 9.34M | +400.00% | 768.45M |
| SUSQUEHANNA INTERNATIONAL GROUP, LLP | 11.41M | 8.99M | +371.03% | 751.24M |
| ASPEX MANAGEMENT (HK) LTD | 10.89M | 9.07M | +498.76% | 716.91M |
| LONE PINE CAPITAL LLC | 10.52M | 8.77M | +499.57% | 692.47M |
| LINGOTTO INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT LLP | 9.28M | 6.74M | +264.35% | 611.06M |
| SANDS CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | 8.46M | 6.35M | +299.71% | 557.03M |
| JPMORGAN CHASE & CO | 8.62M | 6.08M | +239.70% | 549.10M |
| INVESCO LTD. | 7.62M | 6.55M | +614.12% | 501.34M |
| Period | Value |
|---|---|
| FY2019 | Product and Service, Other: 251709000.0, Used Vehicle Sales: 3420601000.0, Wholesale Vehicle Sales: 267586000.0 |
| FY2020 | Product and Service, Other: 400734000.0, Used Vehicle Sales: 4740595000.0, Wholesale Vehicle Sales: 445236000.0 |
| FY2021 | Product and Service, Other: 1043000000.0, Used Vehicle Sales: 9851000000.0, Wholesale Vehicle Sales: 1920000000.0 |
| FY2022 | Product and Service, Other: 741000000.0, Used Vehicle Sales: 10254000000.0, Wholesale Vehicle Sales: 2609000000.0 |
| FY2023 | Product and Service, Other: 753000000.0, Used Vehicle Sales: 7514000000.0 |
| FY2024 | Product and Service, Other: 1151000000.0, Used Vehicle Sales: 9681000000.0 |
| FY2025 | Product and Service, Other: 1733000000.0, Used Vehicle Sales: 14537000000.0 |
Insights · Dividends · Forecast · Financials · Learn
$64.77B
Market Cap
20.68
P/E
36.60
Forward P/E
59
Score