National Vision (EYE) Stock Insights
$1.22B
Market Cap
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P/E
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Forward P/E
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Score
EYE price $15.46 -0.74 -4.57%
EYE fair value $37.14. Price $15.46. Price is 58% below fair value.
Below fair value, and cheaper than usual. A larger discount than on more than 99% of days in the past 5 years.
Fair value is an estimate of what one share is worth if future cash flows arrive as modeled. It is not a forecast of the share price. How discounted cash flow works.
Calculated with a 10-year free-cash-flow discount. Starting free cash flow 49.08M. Growth 20.00%. When analyst earnings forecasts are available, free cash flow in those years is forecast earnings times the company's usual conversion of earnings into free cash flow, kept between 60% and 130%. Years with fewer than 3 analyst estimates are left out. Growth then fades in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10, starting from the last well-covered year's growth, or from the pace across those years when the final year slows sharply, kept between 0% and 20%. Without those forecasts, year-1 growth is analyst revenue growth for the next full fiscal year, or 5-year historical revenue growth when that forecast is missing, held for five years, then fading in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10. Terminal growth 3.00%. Discount rate 9.71% (beta 1.0). Beta is kept between 0.8 and 2.0, which on its own would make the discount rate 8.7% to 15.3%. The rate is then capped at 12%. A cap is used because a discount above 12% pushes higher-beta stocks further from the price. The discount rate stays at least 5 percentage points above terminal growth. Shares 79.07M. Net debt 655.89M. The earnings value is next-12-months earnings per share, or trailing earnings when that forecast is missing, times the median P/E of the company's industry. That median uses listed stocks worth at least $10 billion with a positive P/E of 100 or below, and the industry needs at least eight of them. Otherwise the sector median is used when that group also has at least eight, then the market median of those large companies. The multiple used is the lower of that median and 1.25 times the stock's own 10-year median P/E, then kept between 8 and 30. If the stock has no 10-year median, the peer median is kept between 8 and 30. Fair value is the average of the cash-flow value and the earnings value when both exist. Card and credit companies use the earnings value only, because changes in customer receivables distort free cash flow. Model uncertainty is high when fair value is more than 60% from the price, or when most of the cash-flow value sits after year 10.
| Date | EPS actual | EPS estimate | Revenue | Revenue estimate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-04 | — | 0.17 | — | 512.53M |
| 2026-08-12 | 0.25 | 0.18 | 498.81M | 499.07M |
| 2026-05-13 | 0.45 | 0.43 | 543.88M | 545.09M |
| 2026-03-04 | 0.15 | 0.06 | 503.41M | 495.26M |
| 2025-11-05 | 0.13 | 0.12 | 487.33M | 495.10M |
| 2025-08-06 | 0.18 | 0.13 | 486.42M | 471.28M |
| 2025-05-07 | 0.34 | 0.29 | 510.32M | 466.40M |
| 2025-02-26 | -0.04 | -0.07 | 437.28M | 437.04M |
| 2024-11-06 | 0.12 | 0.05 | 451.51M | 432.80M |
| 2024-08-07 | 0.15 | 0.06 | 451.73M | 452.36M |
| 2024-05-08 | 0.30 | 0.28 | 542.52M | 552.98M |
| 2024-02-27 | -0.02 | -0.09 | 506.40M | 499.80M |
| 2023-11-09 | 0.15 | 0.06 | 532.36M | 499.90M |
| 2023-08-10 | 0.17 | 0.15 | 525.34M | 525.15M |
| 2023-05-11 | 0.31 | 0.19 | 562.37M | 551.64M |
| 2023-03-01 | -0.08 | -0.06 | 468.93M | 471.53M |
| 2022-11-10 | 0.15 | 0.13 | 499.21M | 503.00M |
| 2022-08-11 | 0.21 | 0.08 | 509.56M | 500.72M |
| 2022-05-10 | 0.33 | 0.30 | 527.71M | 538.38M |
| 2022-02-28 | 0.13 | 0.01 | 477.85M | 457.47M |
| 2021-11-10 | 0.38 | 0.25 | 518.00M | 388.50M |
| 2021-08-12 | 0.48 | 0.23 | 549.49M | 429.47M |
| 2021-05-13 | 0.48 | 0.31 | 534.18M | 519.86M |
| 2021-03-03 | 0.45 | 0.13 | 496.70M | 472.70M |
| 2020-11-05 | 0.54 | 0.27 | 485.35M | 242.68M |
| 2020-08-06 | -0.41 | -0.57 | 260.01M | 317.08M |
| 2020-05-07 | 0.28 | -0.09 | 469.70M | 234.85M |
| 2020-02-26 | 0.11 | 0.01 | 401.76M | 36.52M |
| 2019-11-07 | 0.18 | 0.12 | 431.90M | 287.93M |
| 2019-08-06 | 0.20 | 0.21 | 429.45M | 450.92M |
| 2019-05-09 | 0.33 | 0.32 | 461.21M | 433.26M |
| 2019-02-27 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 355.92M | 355.92M |
| 2018-11-13 | 0.12 | 0.12 | 387.43M | 387.43M |
| 2018-08-14 | 0.21 | 0.19 | 385.53M | 348.81M |
| 2018-05-15 | 0.35 | 0.39 | 407.98M | 454.60M |
| 2018-03-08 | -0.04 | -0.01 | 321.82M | 80.45M |
| 2017-12-07 | 0.10 | 0.06 | 346.09M | — |
| 2017-10-26 | -0.02 | — | 337.54M | — |
| 2017-03-31 | 0.24 | — | 369.86M | — |
| 2016-12-31 | -0.13 | — | 277.11M | — |
Yield 0.00%. Payout ratio 0.00%. Frequency —.
Safety score 37/100 · Watch. Payout ratio is 0% of earnings. Free-cash-flow coverage is not available, so this part stays neutral. No dividend history was found. There is no dividend yield.
| Ex-date | Dividend | Record | Payment | Frequency |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No data yet. | ||||
| Date | Insider | Action | Shares | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Cutler David G | Sell | 13.00K | — | — |
| 2026-09-08 | Cutler David G | Buy | 13.00K | — | — |
| 2026-09-08 | Cutler David G | Sell | 5.11K | $17.00 | 86.87K |
| 2026-09-02 | Moeddel Ana | Sell | 11.39K | — | — |
| 2026-09-02 | Moeddel Ana | Buy | 11.39K | — | — |
| 2026-09-02 | Moeddel Ana | Sell | 3.11K | $16.82 | 52.38K |
| 2026-08-19 | Wilkes Alexander | Sell | 61.79K | — | — |
| 2026-08-19 | Wilkes Alexander | Buy | 61.79K | — | — |
| 2026-08-19 | Wilkes Alexander | Sell | 29.88K | $18.92 | 565.41K |
| 2026-07-31 | Wilkes Alexander | Sell | 13.77K | — | — |
| 2026-07-31 | Wilkes Alexander | Buy | 13.77K | — | — |
| 2026-07-31 | Wilkes Alexander | Sell | 6.66K | $22.04 | 146.79K |
| 2026-07-08 | Banner Mark | Sell | 11.73K | — | — |
| 2026-07-08 | Banner Mark | Buy | 11.73K | — | — |
| 2026-07-08 | Banner Mark | Sell | 4.96K | $19.41 | 96.35K |
| 2026-06-17 | Zulla Caitlin | Buy | 16.26K | — | — |
| 2026-06-17 | OFarrell Susan C | Buy | 14.57K | — | — |
| 2026-06-17 | Nicholson Michael J | Buy | 11.35K | — | — |
| 2026-06-17 | McGrann James M. | Buy | 11.35K | — | — |
| 2026-06-17 | Kelman Naomi | Buy | 11.35K | — | — |
| 2026-06-17 | Johnson Susan S | Buy | 11.35K | — | — |
| 2026-06-17 | Hepner Virginia A | Buy | 11.35K | — | — |
| 2026-06-17 | Armario Jose | Buy | 16.26K | — | — |
| 2026-06-05 | Nicholson Michael J | Buy | 50.00K | $15.52 | 776.00K |
| 2026-04-29 | Brandman Jared | Buy | 1.89K | — | — |
| 2026-04-29 | Brandman Jared | Sell | 842 | $22.39 | 18.85K |
| 2026-04-29 | Brandman Jared | Sell | 1.89K | — | — |
| 2026-03-31 | Laden Christopher | Sell | 26.08K | — | — |
| 2026-03-31 | Laden Christopher | Buy | 26.08K | — | — |
| 2026-03-31 | Laden Christopher | Sell | 9.70K | $25.90 | 251.28K |
| 2026-03-11 | Wilkes Alexander | Sell | 35.00K | $26.54 | 928.90K |
| 2026-03-06 | Cutler David G | Buy | 10.75K | — | — |
| 2026-03-06 | Moeddel Ana | Buy | 10.75K | — | — |
| 2026-03-06 | Patel Priti V | Buy | 8.22K | — | — |
| 2026-03-06 | Patel Priti V | Sell | 2.74K | $27.90 | 76.39K |
| 2026-03-06 | Patel Priti V | Buy | 10.75K | — | — |
| 2026-03-06 | Patel Priti V | Sell | 8.22K | — | — |
| 2026-03-06 | VanDette Joseph | Buy | 8.22K | — | — |
| 2026-03-06 | VanDette Joseph | Sell | 2.43K | $27.90 | 67.80K |
| 2026-03-06 | VanDette Joseph | Buy | 10.75K | — | — |
| 2026-03-06 | VanDette Joseph | Sell | 8.22K | — | — |
| 2026-03-06 | Banner Mark | Buy | 10.75K | — | — |
| 2026-03-06 | Banner Mark | Sell | 13.71K | — | — |
| 2026-03-06 | Banner Mark | Buy | 13.71K | — | — |
| 2026-03-06 | Banner Mark | Sell | 4.13K | $27.90 | 115.31K |
| 2026-03-06 | Clark Bill | Buy | 8.22K | — | — |
| 2026-03-06 | Clark Bill | Sell | 2.43K | $27.90 | 67.80K |
| 2026-03-06 | Clark Bill | Buy | 10.75K | — | — |
| 2026-03-06 | Clark Bill | Sell | 8.22K | — | — |
| 2026-03-06 | Brandman Jared | Buy | 10.28K | — | — |
| 2026-03-06 | Brandman Jared | Sell | 3.49K | $27.90 | 97.48K |
| 2026-03-06 | Brandman Jared | Buy | 10.75K | — | — |
| 2026-03-06 | Brandman Jared | Sell | 10.28K | — | — |
| 2026-03-06 | Laden Christopher | Buy | 17.92K | — | — |
| 2026-03-06 | Wilkes Alexander | Buy | 62.73K | — | — |
| 2026-03-06 | Wilkes Alexander | Sell | 27.41K | — | — |
| 2026-03-06 | Wilkes Alexander | Buy | 27.41K | — | — |
| 2026-03-06 | Wilkes Alexander | Sell | 13.99K | $27.90 | 390.43K |
| 2026-03-06 | FAHS L READE | Buy | 54.82K | — | — |
| 2026-03-06 | FAHS L READE | Sell | 24.42K | $27.90 | 681.29K |
| 2026-03-06 | FAHS L READE | Sell | 7.60K | $29.58 | 224.84K |
| 2026-03-06 | FAHS L READE | Sell | 4.07K | $29.57 | 120.38K |
| 2026-03-06 | FAHS L READE | Buy | 71.69K | — | — |
| 2026-03-06 | FAHS L READE | Sell | 54.82K | — | — |
| 2026-03-03 | Patel Priti V | Buy | 11.95K | — | — |
| 2026-03-03 | Patel Priti V | Sell | 2.99K | — | — |
| 2026-03-03 | Patel Priti V | Sell | 4.31K | $26.63 | 114.88K |
| 2026-03-03 | Patel Priti V | Buy | 2.99K | — | — |
| 2026-03-03 | Patel Priti V | Sell | 1.07K | $26.63 | 28.49K |
| 2026-03-03 | VanDette Joseph | Buy | 25.39K | — | — |
| 2026-03-03 | VanDette Joseph | Sell | 7.50K | $26.63 | 199.78K |
| 2026-03-03 | VanDette Joseph | Sell | 6.35K | — | — |
| 2026-03-03 | VanDette Joseph | Buy | 6.35K | — | — |
| 2026-03-03 | VanDette Joseph | Sell | 2.10K | $26.63 | 55.79K |
| 2026-03-03 | Clark Bill | Buy | 25.39K | — | — |
| 2026-03-03 | Clark Bill | Sell | 7.50K | $26.63 | 199.78K |
| 2026-03-03 | Clark Bill | Buy | 6.35K | — | — |
| 2026-03-03 | Clark Bill | Sell | 2.07K | $26.63 | 55.10K |
| 2026-03-03 | Clark Bill | Sell | 6.35K | — | — |
| 2026-03-03 | Brandman Jared | Buy | 25.39K | — | — |
| 2026-03-03 | Brandman Jared | Sell | 7.50K | $26.63 | 199.78K |
| 2026-03-03 | Brandman Jared | Buy | 6.35K | — | — |
| 2026-03-03 | Brandman Jared | Sell | 2.04K | $26.63 | 54.22K |
| 2026-03-03 | Brandman Jared | Sell | 6.35K | — | — |
| 2026-03-03 | FAHS L READE | Buy | 179.25K | — | — |
| 2026-03-03 | FAHS L READE | Sell | 79.84K | $26.63 | 2.13M |
| 2026-03-03 | FAHS L READE | Buy | 44.82K | — | — |
| 2026-03-03 | FAHS L READE | Sell | 19.96K | $26.63 | 531.67K |
| 2026-03-03 | FAHS L READE | Sell | 44.82K | — | — |
| 2026-02-27 | Patel Priti V | Sell | 3.36K | — | — |
| 2026-02-27 | Patel Priti V | Buy | 3.36K | — | — |
| 2026-02-27 | Patel Priti V | Sell | 1.38K | $26.97 | 37.27K |
| 2026-02-27 | VanDette Joseph | Sell | 3.36K | — | — |
| 2026-02-27 | VanDette Joseph | Buy | 3.36K | — | — |
| 2026-02-27 | VanDette Joseph | Sell | 1.17K | $26.97 | 31.61K |
| 2026-02-27 | Clark Bill | Buy | 3.36K | — | — |
| 2026-02-27 | Clark Bill | Sell | 1.17K | $26.97 | 31.61K |
| 2026-02-27 | Clark Bill | Sell | 3.36K | — | — |
| 2026-02-27 | Brandman Jared | Buy | 3.54K | — | — |
| 2026-02-27 | Brandman Jared | Sell | 1.21K | $26.97 | 32.50K |
Latest filed quarter: Q2 2026.
Institutions holding: 241, holders -25 vs prior quarter. Ownership 126.72%.
| Holder | Shares | Change | Change % | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BLACKROCK, INC. | 12.11M | 578.75K | +5.02% | 230.29M |
| WELLINGTON MANAGEMENT GROUP LLP | 7.67M | 2.17M | +39.55% | 145.80M |
| VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC | 5.43M | -314.42K | -5.47% | 103.27M |
| WILLIAM BLAIR INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT, LLC | 4.75M | 521.66K | +12.34% | 90.25M |
| FMR LLC | 4.07M | 2.98M | +273.28% | 77.38M |
| ENGINE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LP | 3.52M | 3.52M | New | 66.93M |
| STATE STREET CORP | 3.47M | 287.08K | +9.03% | 65.87M |
| VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | 3.40M | -37.74K | -1.10% | 64.64M |
| DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP | 3.38M | 322.61K | +10.54% | 64.34M |
| AMERIPRISE FINANCIAL INC | 3.15M | 1.85M | +142.38% | 59.86M |
| GLENVIEW CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | 3.10M | 1.54M | +98.04% | 58.95M |
| BOSTON PARTNERS | 2.25M | 823.95K | +57.86% | 42.74M |
| GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | 2.13M | -65.25K | -2.97% | 40.47M |
| VICTORY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT INC | 2.06M | 255.37K | +14.15% | 39.16M |
| ARROWSTREET CAPITAL, LIMITED PARTNERSHIP | 2.02M | -390.71K | -16.23% | 38.33M |
| EMERALD ADVISERS, LLC | 2.01M | 504.05K | +33.54% | 38.15M |
| AMERICAN CENTURY COMPANIES INC | 1.93M | -1.30M | -40.26% | 36.62M |
| DIVISADERO STREET CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LP | 1.90M | 1.20M | +172.90% | 36.11M |
| MORGAN STANLEY | 1.69M | 480.15K | +39.58% | 32.19M |
| INVESCO LTD. | 1.67M | 464.87K | +38.58% | 31.74M |
| JUPITER ASSET MANAGEMENT LTD | 1.46M | 18.06K | +1.25% | 27.78M |
| GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC | 1.38M | 516.96K | +60.09% | 26.18M |
| EMERALD MUTUAL FUND ADVISERS TRUST | 1.30M | 360.69K | +38.47% | 24.68M |
| CHARLES SCHWAB INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT INC | 1.21M | -81.62K | -6.30% | 23.09M |
| SIXTH STREET PARTNERS MANAGEMENT COMPANY, L.P. | 1.21M | 1.21M | New | 23.09M |
Insights · Dividends · Forecast · Financials · Learn
$1.22B
Market Cap
—
P/E
—
Forward P/E
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Score