Forestar Group (FOR) Stock Forecast & Price Target

FOR price $24.95 -0.97 -3.74%

Ticker
FOR
Price
$24.95
Change
-0.97 -3.74%
Market cap ?
$1.27B
Beta ?
1.40
Sector
Real Estate
Industry
Real Estate - Development

Fair value

FOR fair value $51.71. Price $24.95. Price is 52% below fair value.

Below fair value, but more expensive than usual. A smaller discount than on 64% of days in the past 5 years.

Fair value is an estimate of what one share is worth if future cash flows arrive as modeled. It is not a forecast of the share price. How discounted cash flow works.

Calculated with a 10-year free-cash-flow discount. Starting free cash flow 419.74M. Growth 0.00%. When analyst earnings forecasts are available, free cash flow in those years is forecast earnings times the company's usual conversion of earnings into free cash flow, kept between 60% and 130%. Years with fewer than 3 analyst estimates are left out. Growth then fades in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10, starting from the last well-covered year's growth, or from the pace across those years when the final year slows sharply, kept between 0% and 20%. Without those forecasts, year-1 growth is analyst revenue growth for the next full fiscal year, or 5-year historical revenue growth when that forecast is missing, held for five years, then fading in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10. Terminal growth 3.00%. Discount rate 12.00% (beta 1.4). Beta is kept between 0.8 and 2.0, which on its own would make the discount rate 8.7% to 15.3%. The rate is then capped at 12%. A cap is used because a discount above 12% pushes higher-beta stocks further from the price. The discount rate stays at least 5 percentage points above terminal growth. Shares 51.02M. Net debt 437.90M. The earnings value is next-12-months earnings per share, or trailing earnings when that forecast is missing, times the median P/E of the company's industry. That median uses listed stocks worth at least $10 billion with a positive P/E of 100 or below, and the industry needs at least eight of them. Otherwise the sector median is used when that group also has at least eight, then the market median of those large companies. The multiple used is the lower of that median and 1.25 times the stock's own 10-year median P/E, then kept between 8 and 30. If the stock has no 10-year median, the peer median is kept between 8 and 30. Fair value is the average of the cash-flow value and the earnings value when both exist. Card and credit companies use the earnings value only, because changes in customer receivables distort free cash flow. Model uncertainty is high when fair value is more than 60% from the price, or when most of the cash-flow value sits after year 10.

Compare FOR

Earnings

DateEPS actualEPS estimateRevenueRevenue estimate
2026-10-291.151.25580.80M603.09M
2026-07-210.700.81407.00M437.73M
2026-04-210.630.72374.30M373.65M
2026-01-200.300.21273.00M265.58M
2025-10-281.701.26670.50M556.60M
2025-07-220.650.78390.50M556.59M
2025-04-170.640.71351.00M419.45M
2025-01-210.320.65250.40M372.83M
2024-10-291.601.31551.40M503.76M
2024-07-180.690.88318.40M503.76M
2024-04-180.890.72333.80M325.91M
2024-01-230.760.50305.90M272.37M
2023-11-071.450.94549.70M399.05M
2023-07-200.930.55368.90M399.05M
2023-04-200.540.34301.50M215.00M
2023-01-240.420.59216.70M286.87M
2022-11-091.020.48381.40M289.77M
2022-07-190.800.81308.50M353.75M
2022-04-211.020.70421.60M389.27M
2022-01-270.810.67407.60M375.90M
2021-11-040.850.74418.70M403.47M
2021-07-200.610.45312.90M403.47M
2021-04-200.590.42287.10M281.97M
2021-01-210.460.37307.10M232.40M
2020-11-050.500.23347.60M336.55M
2020-07-230.160.01177.90M8.47M
2020-04-230.200.16159.10M127.28M
2020-01-230.350.13247.20M91.82M
2019-11-070.290.09236.30M73.33M
2019-07-250.160.0688.20M33.08M
2019-04-300.240.1365.30M55.94M
2019-01-290.08—38.50M—
2018-11-161.30—32.20M—
2018-08-080.22—23.57M—
2018-05-090.11—22.60M—
2018-02-28-0.58—30.90M—
2017-11-020.190.1333.14M107.58M
2017-08-08-0.090.1628.02M5.67M
2017-05-090.580.1022.30M4.74M
2017-03-010.271.0764.50M28.67M

Dividends

Yield 0.00%. Payout ratio 0.00%. Frequency —.

Safety score 37/100 · Watch. Payout ratio is 0% of earnings. Free-cash-flow coverage is not available, so this part stays neutral. No dividend history was found. There is no dividend yield.

Ex-dateDividendRecordPaymentFrequency
No data yet.

Insider trades

DateInsiderActionSharesPriceValue
2026-08-18Jamieson Lisa H.Sell3.00K$29.2587.75K
2026-03-31Allen James DouglasBuy4.50K——
2026-03-31Allen James DouglasSell1.67K$24.4440.74K
2026-03-31Allen James DouglasSell4.50K——
2026-03-31Walker Mark StephenBuy2.81K——
2026-03-31Walker Mark StephenSell1.25K$24.4430.65K
2026-03-31Walker Mark StephenSell2.81K——
2026-03-28TOMNITZ DONALD JBuy4.98K——
2026-03-28TOMNITZ DONALD JSell1.84K$24.8145.70K
2026-03-28TOMNITZ DONALD JSell4.98K——
2026-03-28Oxley Anthony WBuy4.98K——
2026-03-28Oxley Anthony WSell1.96K$24.8148.60K
2026-03-28Oxley Anthony WSell4.98K——
2026-03-28Allen James DouglasBuy1.99K——
2026-03-28Allen James DouglasSell737$24.8118.28K
2026-03-28Allen James DouglasSell1.99K——
2026-03-28Walker Mark StephenBuy1.99K——
2026-03-28Walker Mark StephenSell887$24.8122.01K
2026-03-28Walker Mark StephenSell1.99K——
2026-03-28Parmer ElizabethBuy402——
2026-03-28Parmer ElizabethSell402——
2026-03-28Jamieson Lisa H.Buy402——
2026-03-28Jamieson Lisa H.Sell402——
2026-03-28FULLER SAMUEL RBuy402——
2026-03-28FULLER SAMUEL RSell402——
2026-03-21Walker Mark StephenBuy4.07K——
2026-03-21Walker Mark StephenSell1.95K$24.2947.27K
2026-03-21Walker Mark StephenSell4.07K——
2026-03-21Allen James DouglasBuy5.42K——
2026-03-21Allen James DouglasSell2.01K$24.2948.73K
2026-03-21Allen James DouglasSell5.42K——
2026-03-21TOMNITZ DONALD JBuy12.03K——
2026-03-21TOMNITZ DONALD JSell4.45K$24.29108.16K
2026-03-21TOMNITZ DONALD JSell12.03K——
2026-03-21Parmer ElizabethBuy1.10K——
2026-03-21Parmer ElizabethSell1.10K——
2026-03-21Jamieson Lisa H.Buy1.10K——
2026-03-21Jamieson Lisa H.Sell1.10K——
2026-03-21FULLER SAMUEL RBuy1.10K——
2026-03-21FULLER SAMUEL RSell1.10K——
2026-03-18Allen James DouglasBuy2.33K——
2026-03-18Allen James DouglasSell863$24.7321.34K
2026-03-18Allen James DouglasSell2.33K——
2026-03-18Walker Mark StephenBuy1.55K——
2026-03-18Walker Mark StephenSell775$24.7319.17K
2026-03-18Walker Mark StephenSell1.55K——
2026-03-01Parmer ElizabethBuy2.00K——
2026-03-01Parmer ElizabethSell2.00K——
2025-12-01TOMNITZ DONALD JBuy756——
2025-12-01TOMNITZ DONALD JSell756$25.5719.33K
2025-12-01TOMNITZ DONALD JSell756——
2025-12-01Allen James DouglasBuy400——
2025-12-01Allen James DouglasSell400$25.5710.23K
2025-12-01Allen James DouglasSell400——
2025-11-20Walker Mark StephenBuy3.54K——
2025-11-20Walker Mark StephenSell1.58K$23.2236.64K
2025-11-20Walker Mark StephenSell5.88K——
2025-11-20Allen James DouglasBuy2.60K——
2025-11-20Allen James DouglasSell963$23.2222.36K
2025-11-20Allen James DouglasSell2.60K——
2025-11-20Oxley Anthony WSell5.88K——
2025-11-20Oxley Anthony WBuy5.88K——
2025-11-20Oxley Anthony WSell2.31K$23.2253.73K
2025-11-20TOMNITZ DONALD JBuy6.63K——
2025-11-20TOMNITZ DONALD JSell2.45K$23.2256.98K
2025-11-20TOMNITZ DONALD JSell6.63K——
2025-11-20Seagraves George WBuy750——
2025-11-20Seagraves George WSell750——
2025-11-20Parmer ElizabethBuy750——
2025-11-20Parmer ElizabethSell750——
2025-11-20Jamieson Lisa H.Buy750——
2025-11-20Jamieson Lisa H.Sell750——
2025-11-20FULLER SAMUEL RBuy750——
2025-11-20FULLER SAMUEL RSell750——
2025-11-20Fischer Kellie LBuy750——
2025-11-20Fischer Kellie LSell750——
2025-10-30Seagraves George WSell1.45K——
2025-10-30Seagraves George WBuy1.45K——
2025-10-30Parmer ElizabethBuy2.00K——
2025-10-30Parmer ElizabethSell2.00K——
2025-10-30Jamieson Lisa H.Buy2.00K——
2025-10-30Jamieson Lisa H.Sell2.00K——
2025-10-30FULLER SAMUEL RBuy2.00K——
2025-10-30FULLER SAMUEL RSell2.00K——
2025-10-30Fischer Kellie LSell1.45K——
2025-10-30Fischer Kellie LBuy1.45K——
2025-10-29Walker Mark StephenBuy18.04K——
2025-10-29Allen James DouglasBuy13.24K——
2025-10-29Oxley Anthony WBuy31.59K——
2025-10-29TOMNITZ DONALD JBuy20.25K——
2025-10-29Seagraves George WBuy3.00K——
2025-10-29Parmer ElizabethBuy3.00K——
2025-10-29Jamieson Lisa H.Buy3.00K——
2025-10-29Fischer Kellie LBuy3.00K——
2025-10-29FULLER SAMUEL RBuy3.00K——
2025-08-08Allen James DouglasSell19.00K$26.08495.52K
2025-06-11Parmer ElizabethSell3.36K$20.5869.09K
2025-05-16Oxley Anthony WBuy4.96K$20.22100.36K
2025-05-12Parmer ElizabethSell1.46K$20.5730.03K
2025-03-31TOMNITZ DONALD JBuy10.00K——

Institutional holders

Latest filed quarter: Q2 2026.

Institutions holding: 189, holders +19 vs prior quarter. Ownership 37.16%.

HolderSharesChangeChange %Value
DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP2.86M56.01K+2.00%90.58M
VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC1.79M-18.62K-1.03%56.78M
BLACKROCK, INC.1.77M139.68K+8.54%56.17M
AMERICAN CENTURY COMPANIES INC946.90K137.31K+16.96%29.97M
VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC883.92K3.48K+0.39%27.98M
AMERIPRISE FINANCIAL INC567.55K63.20K+12.53%17.96M
GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC549.47K32.63K+6.31%17.39M
GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC549.07K-13.66K-2.43%17.38M
STATE STREET CORP475.43K24.31K+5.39%15.05M
HEARTLAND ADVISORS INC474.81K-30.28K-5.99%15.03M
ROYAL BANK OF CANADA469.33K-43.09K-8.41%14.85M
SWEDBANK AB450.00K00.00%14.24M
WOODSON CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LP360.00K-75.00K-17.24%11.39M
AQR CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC344.57K-19.25K-5.29%10.91M
DENALI ADVISORS LLC292.66K-1.33K-0.45%9.26M
JUPITER TOPCO LLC266.92K266.92KNew8.46M
BRIDGEWAY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC246.48K87.32K+54.86%7.80M
JACOBS LEVY EQUITY MANAGEMENT, INC239.74K-17.84K-6.93%7.59M
HAREL INSURANCE INVESTMENTS & FINANCIAL SERVICES LTD.231.00K73.69K+46.84%7.31M
BANK OF NEW YORK MELLON CORP227.94K126.09K+123.79%7.21M
FIRST TRUST ADVISORS LP207.80K35.71K+20.75%6.58M
NORTHERN TRUST CORP197.31K13.20K+7.17%6.25M
MORGAN STANLEY182.16K-19.19K-9.53%5.77M
TWO SIGMA INVESTMENTS, LP167.12K-13.32K-7.38%5.29M
EMPOWERED FUNDS, LLC166.48K87.32K+110.31%5.27M

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The Forestar Group (FOR) forecast collects the published price target, analyst ratings, and earnings estimates when they are available.

Forecasts are third-party estimates and often wrong. They are not investment advice.

FOR price target

A low, average, and high target are shown in the tool when analysts have published them.

Is Forestar Group a buy or sell?

A Buy, Hold, and Sell split is shown when analysts have published ratings. It is not a recommendation.

Forestar Group earnings and revenue forecast

EPS and revenue estimates for the coming years are drawn in the chart when analysts have published them.

FOR score and fair value

The Stocklytics Score, when it is published for FOR, averages value, quality, and growth on a 0–100 scale. It is not a price target. Fair value is a separate estimate on the fair value tab.

FOR forecast FAQs

What is the FOR price target?

A 12-month average target is shown on this page when analysts have published one.

Is Forestar Group a buy or sell?

A consensus is shown when analysts have published ratings. It is not a recommendation.

What is the Forestar Group stock forecast for 2026?

An EPS estimate for 2026 is shown in the chart on this page when analysts have published one.

What will FOR be worth in 2030?

No reliable forecast exists that far out.

When is Forestar Group's next earnings report?

The next earnings date is shown on the stock page when a future report is on the calendar. This forecast does not invent a date.

Capital is at risk. Stocklytics is operated by Stocklytics Inc., a Marshall Islands company. It is not regulated by the FCA and does not give investment advice.

Forestar Group (FOR) Stock Forecast & Price Target

FOR$24.95-0.97 -3.74%

$1.27B

Market Cap

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P/E

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Forward P/E

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Score

Price History