Forestar Group (FOR) Stock Insights
$1.26B
Market Cap
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P/E
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Forward P/E
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Score
FOR price $24.79 -1.13 -4.36%
FOR fair value $51.71. Price $24.79. Price is 52% below fair value.
Below fair value, but more expensive than usual. A smaller discount than on 64% of days in the past 5 years.
Fair value is an estimate of what one share is worth if future cash flows arrive as modeled. It is not a forecast of the share price. How discounted cash flow works.
Calculated with a 10-year free-cash-flow discount. Starting free cash flow 419.74M. Growth 0.00%. When analyst earnings forecasts are available, free cash flow in those years is forecast earnings times the company's usual conversion of earnings into free cash flow, kept between 60% and 130%. Years with fewer than 3 analyst estimates are left out. Growth then fades in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10, starting from the last well-covered year's growth, or from the pace across those years when the final year slows sharply, kept between 0% and 20%. Without those forecasts, year-1 growth is analyst revenue growth for the next full fiscal year, or 5-year historical revenue growth when that forecast is missing, held for five years, then fading in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10. Terminal growth 3.00%. Discount rate 12.00% (beta 1.4). Beta is kept between 0.8 and 2.0, which on its own would make the discount rate 8.7% to 15.3%. The rate is then capped at 12%. A cap is used because a discount above 12% pushes higher-beta stocks further from the price. The discount rate stays at least 5 percentage points above terminal growth. Shares 51.02M. Net debt 437.90M. The earnings value is next-12-months earnings per share, or trailing earnings when that forecast is missing, times the median P/E of the company's industry. That median uses listed stocks worth at least $10 billion with a positive P/E of 100 or below, and the industry needs at least eight of them. Otherwise the sector median is used when that group also has at least eight, then the market median of those large companies. The multiple used is the lower of that median and 1.25 times the stock's own 10-year median P/E, then kept between 8 and 30. If the stock has no 10-year median, the peer median is kept between 8 and 30. Fair value is the average of the cash-flow value and the earnings value when both exist. Card and credit companies use the earnings value only, because changes in customer receivables distort free cash flow. Model uncertainty is high when fair value is more than 60% from the price, or when most of the cash-flow value sits after year 10.
| Date | EPS actual | EPS estimate | Revenue | Revenue estimate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-29 | 1.15 | 1.25 | 580.80M | 603.09M |
| 2026-07-21 | 0.70 | 0.81 | 407.00M | 437.73M |
| 2026-04-21 | 0.63 | 0.72 | 374.30M | 373.65M |
| 2026-01-20 | 0.30 | 0.21 | 273.00M | 265.58M |
| 2025-10-28 | 1.70 | 1.26 | 670.50M | 556.60M |
| 2025-07-22 | 0.65 | 0.78 | 390.50M | 556.59M |
| 2025-04-17 | 0.64 | 0.71 | 351.00M | 419.45M |
| 2025-01-21 | 0.32 | 0.65 | 250.40M | 372.83M |
| 2024-10-29 | 1.60 | 1.31 | 551.40M | 503.76M |
| 2024-07-18 | 0.69 | 0.88 | 318.40M | 503.76M |
| 2024-04-18 | 0.89 | 0.72 | 333.80M | 325.91M |
| 2024-01-23 | 0.76 | 0.50 | 305.90M | 272.37M |
| 2023-11-07 | 1.45 | 0.94 | 549.70M | 399.05M |
| 2023-07-20 | 0.93 | 0.55 | 368.90M | 399.05M |
| 2023-04-20 | 0.54 | 0.34 | 301.50M | 215.00M |
| 2023-01-24 | 0.42 | 0.59 | 216.70M | 286.87M |
| 2022-11-09 | 1.02 | 0.48 | 381.40M | 289.77M |
| 2022-07-19 | 0.80 | 0.81 | 308.50M | 353.75M |
| 2022-04-21 | 1.02 | 0.70 | 421.60M | 389.27M |
| 2022-01-27 | 0.81 | 0.67 | 407.60M | 375.90M |
| 2021-11-04 | 0.85 | 0.74 | 418.70M | 403.47M |
| 2021-07-20 | 0.61 | 0.45 | 312.90M | 403.47M |
| 2021-04-20 | 0.59 | 0.42 | 287.10M | 281.97M |
| 2021-01-21 | 0.46 | 0.37 | 307.10M | 232.40M |
| 2020-11-05 | 0.50 | 0.23 | 347.60M | 336.55M |
| 2020-07-23 | 0.16 | 0.01 | 177.90M | 8.47M |
| 2020-04-23 | 0.20 | 0.16 | 159.10M | 127.28M |
| 2020-01-23 | 0.35 | 0.13 | 247.20M | 91.82M |
| 2019-11-07 | 0.29 | 0.09 | 236.30M | 73.33M |
| 2019-07-25 | 0.16 | 0.06 | 88.20M | 33.08M |
| 2019-04-30 | 0.24 | 0.13 | 65.30M | 55.94M |
| 2019-01-29 | 0.08 | — | 38.50M | — |
| 2018-11-16 | 1.30 | — | 32.20M | — |
| 2018-08-08 | 0.22 | — | 23.57M | — |
| 2018-05-09 | 0.11 | — | 22.60M | — |
| 2018-02-28 | -0.58 | — | 30.90M | — |
| 2017-11-02 | 0.19 | 0.13 | 33.14M | 107.58M |
| 2017-08-08 | -0.09 | 0.16 | 28.02M | 5.67M |
| 2017-05-09 | 0.58 | 0.10 | 22.30M | 4.74M |
| 2017-03-01 | 0.27 | 1.07 | 64.50M | 28.67M |
Yield 0.00%. Payout ratio 0.00%. Frequency —.
Safety score 37/100 · Watch. Payout ratio is 0% of earnings. Free-cash-flow coverage is not available, so this part stays neutral. No dividend history was found. There is no dividend yield.
| Ex-date | Dividend | Record | Payment | Frequency |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No data yet. | ||||
| Date | Insider | Action | Shares | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 | Jamieson Lisa H. | Sell | 3.00K | $29.25 | 87.75K |
| 2026-03-31 | Allen James Douglas | Buy | 4.50K | — | — |
| 2026-03-31 | Allen James Douglas | Sell | 1.67K | $24.44 | 40.74K |
| 2026-03-31 | Allen James Douglas | Sell | 4.50K | — | — |
| 2026-03-31 | Walker Mark Stephen | Buy | 2.81K | — | — |
| 2026-03-31 | Walker Mark Stephen | Sell | 1.25K | $24.44 | 30.65K |
| 2026-03-31 | Walker Mark Stephen | Sell | 2.81K | — | — |
| 2026-03-28 | TOMNITZ DONALD J | Buy | 4.98K | — | — |
| 2026-03-28 | TOMNITZ DONALD J | Sell | 1.84K | $24.81 | 45.70K |
| 2026-03-28 | TOMNITZ DONALD J | Sell | 4.98K | — | — |
| 2026-03-28 | Oxley Anthony W | Buy | 4.98K | — | — |
| 2026-03-28 | Oxley Anthony W | Sell | 1.96K | $24.81 | 48.60K |
| 2026-03-28 | Oxley Anthony W | Sell | 4.98K | — | — |
| 2026-03-28 | Allen James Douglas | Buy | 1.99K | — | — |
| 2026-03-28 | Allen James Douglas | Sell | 737 | $24.81 | 18.28K |
| 2026-03-28 | Allen James Douglas | Sell | 1.99K | — | — |
| 2026-03-28 | Walker Mark Stephen | Buy | 1.99K | — | — |
| 2026-03-28 | Walker Mark Stephen | Sell | 887 | $24.81 | 22.01K |
| 2026-03-28 | Walker Mark Stephen | Sell | 1.99K | — | — |
| 2026-03-28 | Parmer Elizabeth | Buy | 402 | — | — |
| 2026-03-28 | Parmer Elizabeth | Sell | 402 | — | — |
| 2026-03-28 | Jamieson Lisa H. | Buy | 402 | — | — |
| 2026-03-28 | Jamieson Lisa H. | Sell | 402 | — | — |
| 2026-03-28 | FULLER SAMUEL R | Buy | 402 | — | — |
| 2026-03-28 | FULLER SAMUEL R | Sell | 402 | — | — |
| 2026-03-21 | Walker Mark Stephen | Buy | 4.07K | — | — |
| 2026-03-21 | Walker Mark Stephen | Sell | 1.95K | $24.29 | 47.27K |
| 2026-03-21 | Walker Mark Stephen | Sell | 4.07K | — | — |
| 2026-03-21 | Allen James Douglas | Buy | 5.42K | — | — |
| 2026-03-21 | Allen James Douglas | Sell | 2.01K | $24.29 | 48.73K |
| 2026-03-21 | Allen James Douglas | Sell | 5.42K | — | — |
| 2026-03-21 | TOMNITZ DONALD J | Buy | 12.03K | — | — |
| 2026-03-21 | TOMNITZ DONALD J | Sell | 4.45K | $24.29 | 108.16K |
| 2026-03-21 | TOMNITZ DONALD J | Sell | 12.03K | — | — |
| 2026-03-21 | Parmer Elizabeth | Buy | 1.10K | — | — |
| 2026-03-21 | Parmer Elizabeth | Sell | 1.10K | — | — |
| 2026-03-21 | Jamieson Lisa H. | Buy | 1.10K | — | — |
| 2026-03-21 | Jamieson Lisa H. | Sell | 1.10K | — | — |
| 2026-03-21 | FULLER SAMUEL R | Buy | 1.10K | — | — |
| 2026-03-21 | FULLER SAMUEL R | Sell | 1.10K | — | — |
| 2026-03-18 | Allen James Douglas | Buy | 2.33K | — | — |
| 2026-03-18 | Allen James Douglas | Sell | 863 | $24.73 | 21.34K |
| 2026-03-18 | Allen James Douglas | Sell | 2.33K | — | — |
| 2026-03-18 | Walker Mark Stephen | Buy | 1.55K | — | — |
| 2026-03-18 | Walker Mark Stephen | Sell | 775 | $24.73 | 19.17K |
| 2026-03-18 | Walker Mark Stephen | Sell | 1.55K | — | — |
| 2026-03-01 | Parmer Elizabeth | Buy | 2.00K | — | — |
| 2026-03-01 | Parmer Elizabeth | Sell | 2.00K | — | — |
| 2025-12-01 | TOMNITZ DONALD J | Buy | 756 | — | — |
| 2025-12-01 | TOMNITZ DONALD J | Sell | 756 | $25.57 | 19.33K |
| 2025-12-01 | TOMNITZ DONALD J | Sell | 756 | — | — |
| 2025-12-01 | Allen James Douglas | Buy | 400 | — | — |
| 2025-12-01 | Allen James Douglas | Sell | 400 | $25.57 | 10.23K |
| 2025-12-01 | Allen James Douglas | Sell | 400 | — | — |
| 2025-11-20 | Walker Mark Stephen | Buy | 3.54K | — | — |
| 2025-11-20 | Walker Mark Stephen | Sell | 1.58K | $23.22 | 36.64K |
| 2025-11-20 | Walker Mark Stephen | Sell | 5.88K | — | — |
| 2025-11-20 | Allen James Douglas | Buy | 2.60K | — | — |
| 2025-11-20 | Allen James Douglas | Sell | 963 | $23.22 | 22.36K |
| 2025-11-20 | Allen James Douglas | Sell | 2.60K | — | — |
| 2025-11-20 | Oxley Anthony W | Sell | 5.88K | — | — |
| 2025-11-20 | Oxley Anthony W | Buy | 5.88K | — | — |
| 2025-11-20 | Oxley Anthony W | Sell | 2.31K | $23.22 | 53.73K |
| 2025-11-20 | TOMNITZ DONALD J | Buy | 6.63K | — | — |
| 2025-11-20 | TOMNITZ DONALD J | Sell | 2.45K | $23.22 | 56.98K |
| 2025-11-20 | TOMNITZ DONALD J | Sell | 6.63K | — | — |
| 2025-11-20 | Seagraves George W | Buy | 750 | — | — |
| 2025-11-20 | Seagraves George W | Sell | 750 | — | — |
| 2025-11-20 | Parmer Elizabeth | Buy | 750 | — | — |
| 2025-11-20 | Parmer Elizabeth | Sell | 750 | — | — |
| 2025-11-20 | Jamieson Lisa H. | Buy | 750 | — | — |
| 2025-11-20 | Jamieson Lisa H. | Sell | 750 | — | — |
| 2025-11-20 | FULLER SAMUEL R | Buy | 750 | — | — |
| 2025-11-20 | FULLER SAMUEL R | Sell | 750 | — | — |
| 2025-11-20 | Fischer Kellie L | Buy | 750 | — | — |
| 2025-11-20 | Fischer Kellie L | Sell | 750 | — | — |
| 2025-10-30 | Seagraves George W | Sell | 1.45K | — | — |
| 2025-10-30 | Seagraves George W | Buy | 1.45K | — | — |
| 2025-10-30 | Parmer Elizabeth | Buy | 2.00K | — | — |
| 2025-10-30 | Parmer Elizabeth | Sell | 2.00K | — | — |
| 2025-10-30 | Jamieson Lisa H. | Buy | 2.00K | — | — |
| 2025-10-30 | Jamieson Lisa H. | Sell | 2.00K | — | — |
| 2025-10-30 | FULLER SAMUEL R | Buy | 2.00K | — | — |
| 2025-10-30 | FULLER SAMUEL R | Sell | 2.00K | — | — |
| 2025-10-30 | Fischer Kellie L | Sell | 1.45K | — | — |
| 2025-10-30 | Fischer Kellie L | Buy | 1.45K | — | — |
| 2025-10-29 | Walker Mark Stephen | Buy | 18.04K | — | — |
| 2025-10-29 | Allen James Douglas | Buy | 13.24K | — | — |
| 2025-10-29 | Oxley Anthony W | Buy | 31.59K | — | — |
| 2025-10-29 | TOMNITZ DONALD J | Buy | 20.25K | — | — |
| 2025-10-29 | Seagraves George W | Buy | 3.00K | — | — |
| 2025-10-29 | Parmer Elizabeth | Buy | 3.00K | — | — |
| 2025-10-29 | Jamieson Lisa H. | Buy | 3.00K | — | — |
| 2025-10-29 | Fischer Kellie L | Buy | 3.00K | — | — |
| 2025-10-29 | FULLER SAMUEL R | Buy | 3.00K | — | — |
| 2025-08-08 | Allen James Douglas | Sell | 19.00K | $26.08 | 495.52K |
| 2025-06-11 | Parmer Elizabeth | Sell | 3.36K | $20.58 | 69.09K |
| 2025-05-16 | Oxley Anthony W | Buy | 4.96K | $20.22 | 100.36K |
| 2025-05-12 | Parmer Elizabeth | Sell | 1.46K | $20.57 | 30.03K |
| 2025-03-31 | TOMNITZ DONALD J | Buy | 10.00K | — | — |
Latest filed quarter: Q2 2026.
Institutions holding: 189, holders +19 vs prior quarter. Ownership 37.16%.
| Holder | Shares | Change | Change % | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP | 2.86M | 56.01K | +2.00% | 90.58M |
| VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC | 1.79M | -18.62K | -1.03% | 56.78M |
| BLACKROCK, INC. | 1.77M | 139.68K | +8.54% | 56.17M |
| AMERICAN CENTURY COMPANIES INC | 946.90K | 137.31K | +16.96% | 29.97M |
| VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | 883.92K | 3.48K | +0.39% | 27.98M |
| AMERIPRISE FINANCIAL INC | 567.55K | 63.20K | +12.53% | 17.96M |
| GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | 549.47K | 32.63K | +6.31% | 17.39M |
| GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC | 549.07K | -13.66K | -2.43% | 17.38M |
| STATE STREET CORP | 475.43K | 24.31K | +5.39% | 15.05M |
| HEARTLAND ADVISORS INC | 474.81K | -30.28K | -5.99% | 15.03M |
| ROYAL BANK OF CANADA | 469.33K | -43.09K | -8.41% | 14.85M |
| SWEDBANK AB | 450.00K | 0 | 0.00% | 14.24M |
| WOODSON CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LP | 360.00K | -75.00K | -17.24% | 11.39M |
| AQR CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | 344.57K | -19.25K | -5.29% | 10.91M |
| DENALI ADVISORS LLC | 292.66K | -1.33K | -0.45% | 9.26M |
| JUPITER TOPCO LLC | 266.92K | 266.92K | New | 8.46M |
| BRIDGEWAY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | 246.48K | 87.32K | +54.86% | 7.80M |
| JACOBS LEVY EQUITY MANAGEMENT, INC | 239.74K | -17.84K | -6.93% | 7.59M |
| HAREL INSURANCE INVESTMENTS & FINANCIAL SERVICES LTD. | 231.00K | 73.69K | +46.84% | 7.31M |
| BANK OF NEW YORK MELLON CORP | 227.94K | 126.09K | +123.79% | 7.21M |
| FIRST TRUST ADVISORS LP | 207.80K | 35.71K | +20.75% | 6.58M |
| NORTHERN TRUST CORP | 197.31K | 13.20K | +7.17% | 6.25M |
| MORGAN STANLEY | 182.16K | -19.19K | -9.53% | 5.77M |
| TWO SIGMA INVESTMENTS, LP | 167.12K | -13.32K | -7.38% | 5.29M |
| EMPOWERED FUNDS, LLC | 166.48K | 87.32K | +110.31% | 5.27M |
Insights · Dividends · Forecast · Financials · Learn
$1.26B
Market Cap
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P/E
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Forward P/E
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Score