Fossil Group (FOSL) Financials: Revenue & Earnings
$392.08M
Market Cap
-5.07
P/E
28.01
Forward P/E
—
Score
FOSL price $6.63 -0.03 -0.45%
| 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3042371000 | 2788163000 | 2541488000 | 2217712000 | 1613343000 | 1870036000 | 1682439000 | 1412384000 | 1144990000 | 1004406000 |
Fossil Group, Inc., along with its subsidiaries, specializes in the global design, development, marketing, and distribution of consumer fashion accessories. Its extensive product range encompasses classic timepieces, cutting-edge smartwatches, various jewelry items, designer handbags, compact leather goods, fashionable belts, and sunglasses. Beyond its own collections, the company also manufactures and distributes…
FOSL fair value $5.73. Price $6.63. Price is 16% above fair value.
Above fair value, and more expensive than usual. A larger premium than on 99% of days in the past 5 years.
Fair value is an estimate of what one share is worth if future cash flows arrive as modeled. It is not a forecast of the share price. How discounted cash flow works.
Calculated with a 10-year free-cash-flow discount. Starting free cash flow 54.94M. Growth 0.00%. When analyst earnings forecasts are available, free cash flow in those years is forecast earnings times the company's usual conversion of earnings into free cash flow, kept between 60% and 130%. Years with fewer than 3 analyst estimates are left out. Growth then fades in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10, starting from the last well-covered year's growth, or from the pace across those years when the final year slows sharply, kept between 0% and 20%. Without those forecasts, year-1 growth is analyst revenue growth for the next full fiscal year, or 5-year historical revenue growth when that forecast is missing, held for five years, then fading in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10. Terminal growth 3.00%. Discount rate 12.00% (beta 1.6). Beta is kept between 0.8 and 2.0, which on its own would make the discount rate 8.7% to 15.3%. The rate is then capped at 12%. A cap is used because a discount above 12% pushes higher-beta stocks further from the price. The discount rate stays at least 5 percentage points above terminal growth. Shares 59.14M. Net debt 186.40M. The earnings value is next-12-months earnings per share, or trailing earnings when that forecast is missing, times the stock's own 10-year median P/E, kept between 8 and 40. Fewer than five years of history uses the sector's typical P/E. Fair value is the average of the cash-flow value and the earnings value when both exist. Model uncertainty is high when fair value is more than 60% from the price, or when most of the cash-flow value sits after year 10.
| Date | EPS actual | EPS estimate | Revenue | Revenue estimate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-10 | — | -0.04 | — | 248.66M |
| 2026-08-12 | -0.13 | -0.35 | 209.70M | 199.33M |
| 2026-05-13 | -0.03 | -0.28 | 224.80M | 204.74M |
| 2026-03-11 | -0.15 | 0.02 | 280.50M | 249.30M |
| 2025-11-13 | -0.63 | -0.02 | 270.20M | 249.36M |
| 2025-08-13 | -0.10 | -0.25 | 220.39M | 226.70M |
| 2025-05-14 | -0.10 | — | 233.29M | — |
| 2025-03-12 | 0.39 | — | 342.30M | — |
| 2024-11-07 | -0.51 | — | 287.80M | — |
| 2024-08-08 | -0.47 | — | 259.99M | 435.50M |
| 2024-05-08 | -0.30 | — | 254.88M | 435.50M |
| 2024-03-13 | -0.30 | — | 421.30M | 435.50M |
| 2023-11-08 | -0.93 | — | 344.10M | 435.50M |
| 2023-08-09 | -0.40 | — | 322.00M | 435.50M |
| 2023-05-10 | -0.61 | — | 325.00M | 435.50M |
| 2023-03-08 | -0.14 | — | 499.10M | 435.50M |
| 2022-11-09 | 0.12 | — | 436.27M | — |
| 2022-08-10 | -0.33 | — | 371.20M | — |
| 2022-05-11 | -0.37 | — | 375.85M | 435.50M |
| 2022-03-09 | 0.64 | 0.26 | 604.20M | 632.53M |
| 2021-11-10 | 0.68 | — | 491.83M | — |
| 2021-08-11 | -0.06 | — | 410.90M | 435.50M |
| 2021-05-12 | -0.53 | — | 363.00M | — |
| 2021-03-10 | 0.11 | — | 528.10M | 333.50M |
| 2020-11-11 | 0.49 | — | 435.50M | — |
| 2020-08-12 | -0.28 | -1.71 | 259.00M | 1.93B |
| 2020-06-03 | -1.50 | -1.51 | 390.70M | 404.10M |
| 2020-02-26 | -0.06 | 0.84 | 711.60M | 18.74B |
| 2019-11-06 | -0.15 | 0.40 | 539.49M | 323.69M |
| 2019-08-07 | -0.04 | -0.07 | 501.40M | 626.74M |
| 2019-05-08 | -0.42 | -0.53 | 465.30M | 708.98M |
| 2019-02-13 | 1.01 | 1.09 | 786.90M | 849.25M |
| 2018-11-07 | 0.19 | -0.11 | 608.83M | 608.83M |
| 2018-08-07 | 0.17 | -0.48 | 576.60M | 1.93B |
| 2018-05-08 | -0.99 | -1.05 | 569.20M | 764.86M |
| 2018-02-13 | 0.64 | 0.39 | 920.80M | 575.50M |
| 2017-11-07 | 0.04 | -0.14 | 688.70M | 6.43B |
| 2017-08-08 | -0.23 | -0.28 | 596.80M | 571.93M |
| 2017-05-09 | -0.35 | -0.21 | 581.80M | 393.83M |
| 2017-02-14 | 1.03 | 1.18 | 959.20M | 1.10B |
Yield 0.00%. Payout ratio 0.00%. Frequency —.
Safety score 37/100 · Watch. Payout ratio is 0% of earnings. Free-cash-flow coverage is not available, so this part stays neutral. No dividend history was found. There is no dividend yield.
| Ex-date | Dividend | Record | Payment | Frequency |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No data yet. | ||||
| Date | Insider | Action | Shares | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-15 | Lowenkron Melissa B | Buy | 65.22K | — | — |
| 2026-10-15 | Greben Randy J | Buy | 65.22K | — | — |
| 2026-10-15 | Fogliato Franco | Sell | 295.12K | $6.90 | 2.04M |
| 2026-10-05 | Carriero Antonio | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-10-05 | Carriero Antonio | Other | 150.00K | — | — |
| 2026-10-05 | Freeze Shannon Rebecca | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-10-05 | Freeze Shannon Rebecca | Other | 150.00K | — | — |
| 2026-10-05 | Lakshmanan Venkataraman Lakshman | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-10-05 | Lakshmanan Venkataraman Lakshman | Other | 150.00K | — | — |
| 2026-10-05 | Hyne Randall Scott | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-10-05 | Hyne Randall Scott | Other | 150.00K | — | — |
| 2026-10-02 | Nair Chandhu | Buy | 16.28K | — | — |
| 2026-10-02 | Nair Chandhu | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-10-02 | DiGrande Sebastian | Buy | 16.28K | — | — |
| 2026-10-02 | DiGrande Sebastian | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-10-02 | Edwards Pamela J | Buy | 16.28K | — | — |
| 2026-10-02 | Coulter Suzanne M | Buy | 16.28K | — | — |
| 2026-10-02 | Rey Marc | Buy | 16.28K | — | — |
| 2026-10-02 | Schoppert Wendy Lee | Buy | 16.28K | — | — |
| 2026-08-20 | Edwards Pamela J | Buy | 7.21K | $5.58 | 40.22K |
| 2026-08-18 | Tifford Gail B | Sell | 55.67K | $5.49 | 305.62K |
| 2026-05-18 | Schoppert Wendy Lee | Buy | 24.33K | $4.14 | 100.73K |
| 2026-04-15 | Fogliato Franco | Buy | 750.00K | — | — |
| 2026-04-15 | Greben Randy J | Buy | 225.00K | — | — |
| 2026-04-15 | Greben Randy J | Sell | 33.87K | $5.40 | 182.89K |
| 2026-04-15 | Lowenkron Melissa B | Buy | 150.00K | — | — |
| 2026-04-15 | Lowenkron Melissa B | Sell | 11.64K | $5.40 | 62.86K |
| 2026-04-15 | Martin Joe T | Buy | 150.00K | — | — |
| 2026-04-15 | Martin Joe T | Sell | 21.72K | $5.40 | 117.27K |
| 2026-03-16 | Schoppert Wendy Lee | Buy | 21.93K | $4.68 | 102.63K |
| 2026-03-16 | Schoppert Wendy Lee | Buy | 21.93K | $4.68 | 102.63K |
| 2026-03-03 | Fogliato Franco | Buy | 72.00K | — | — |
| 2026-03-03 | Fogliato Franco | Sell | 72.00K | — | — |
| 2026-03-03 | Martin Joe T | Buy | 30.00K | — | — |
| 2026-03-03 | Martin Joe T | Sell | 30.00K | — | — |
| 2026-03-03 | Lowenkron Melissa B | Buy | 28.00K | — | — |
| 2026-03-03 | Lowenkron Melissa B | Sell | 28.00K | — | — |
| 2026-03-03 | Greben Randy J | Buy | 28.00K | — | — |
| 2026-03-03 | Greben Randy J | Sell | 28.00K | — | — |
| 2025-12-19 | Corrie Pamela B | Buy | 30.58K | — | — |
| 2025-12-19 | Tifford Gail B | Buy | 30.58K | — | — |
| 2025-12-19 | MANSELL KEVIN | Buy | 30.58K | — | — |
| 2025-12-19 | Rey Marc | Buy | 30.58K | — | — |
| 2025-12-19 | Coulter Suzanne M | Buy | 30.58K | — | — |
| 2025-12-19 | Edwards Pamela J | Buy | 30.58K | — | — |
| 2025-12-19 | Schoppert Wendy Lee | Buy | 30.58K | — | — |
| 2025-12-03 | Coulter Suzanne M | Buy | 28.17K | $3.62 | 101.98K |
| 2025-11-24 | Greben Randy J | Buy | 20.98K | $2.38 | 49.93K |
| 2025-11-21 | Edwards Pamela J | Buy | 10.00K | $2.37 | 23.70K |
| 2025-11-20 | Tifford Gail B | Buy | 33.00K | $2.40 | 79.20K |
| 2025-11-20 | Schoppert Wendy Lee | Buy | 41.32K | $2.47 | 102.07K |
| 2025-11-18 | Martin Joe T | Buy | 56.18K | $1.78 | 100.00K |
| 2025-11-18 | Fogliato Franco | Buy | 100.00K | $1.82 | 182.00K |
| 2025-11-18 | Fogliato Franco | Buy | 50.00K | $1.75 | 87.50K |
| 2025-11-18 | Fogliato Franco | Buy | 50.00K | $1.80 | 90.00K |
| 2025-05-16 | Edwards Pamela J | Buy | 2.47K | — | — |
| 2025-05-16 | Schoppert Wendy Lee | Buy | 2.47K | — | — |
| 2025-05-16 | Edwards Pamela J | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2025-05-16 | Schoppert Wendy Lee | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2025-04-15 | Greben Randy J | Buy | 150.00K | — | — |
| 2025-04-15 | Greben Randy J | Buy | 105.00K | — | — |
| 2025-04-15 | Martin Joe T | Buy | 129.58K | — | — |
| 2025-04-15 | Martin Joe T | Buy | 112.50K | — | — |
| 2025-04-15 | Lowenkron Melissa B | Buy | 105.00K | — | — |
| 2025-04-15 | Lowenkron Melissa B | Sell | 5.93K | $0.97 | 5.75K |
| 2025-04-15 | Fogliato Franco | Buy | 270.00K | — | — |
| 2025-03-21 | Martin Joe T | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2025-03-17 | Greben Randy J | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2025-01-15 | Lowenkron Melissa B | Sell | 1.98K | $1.71 | 3.38K |
| 2024-11-27 | Fogliato Franco | Buy | 138.82K | $1.49 | 206.85K |
| 2024-11-26 | Fogliato Franco | Buy | 111.17K | $1.37 | 152.31K |
| 2024-11-07 | Skobe Andrew R | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2024-10-15 | Fogliato Franco | Buy | 1.50M | — | — |
| 2024-09-18 | Fogliato Franco | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2024-06-21 | BELGYA MARK R | Buy | 25.00K | — | — |
| 2024-06-21 | Corrie Pamela B | Buy | 25.00K | — | — |
| 2024-06-21 | Tifford Gail B | Buy | 25.00K | — | — |
| 2024-06-21 | Coulter Suzanne M | Buy | 25.00K | — | — |
| 2024-06-21 | MANSELL KEVIN | Buy | 25.00K | — | — |
| 2024-06-21 | Rey Marc | Buy | 25.00K | — | — |
| 2024-06-21 | Jones Kim Harris | Buy | 25.00K | — | — |
| 2024-06-21 | DAVIS EUGENE I | Buy | 25.00K | — | — |
| 2024-04-15 | Lowenkron Melissa B | Sell | 4.65K | $0.88 | 4.09K |
| 2024-04-15 | BOYER JEFFREY N | Buy | 40.71K | — | — |
| 2024-04-15 | BOYER JEFFREY N | Sell | 9.42K | $0.88 | 8.29K |
| 2024-04-15 | Hart Darren E. | Buy | 29.87K | — | — |
| 2024-04-15 | Hart Darren E. | Sell | 10.13K | $0.88 | 8.92K |
| 2024-04-15 | Doshi Sunil M | Buy | 24.52K | — | — |
| 2024-04-15 | Doshi Sunil M | Sell | 8.94K | $0.88 | 7.87K |
| 2024-04-15 | Lowenkron Melissa B | Buy | 15.77K | — | — |
| 2024-04-15 | Lowenkron Melissa B | Sell | 4.65K | $88.00 | 408.94K |
| 2024-03-24 | DAVIS EUGENE I | Buy | 5.93K | — | — |
| 2024-03-24 | DAVIS EUGENE I | Sell | 0 | — | — |
| 2024-03-24 | Corrie Pamela B | Buy | 5.93K | — | — |
| 2024-03-24 | Corrie Pamela B | Sell | 0 | — | — |
| 2024-01-15 | Lowenkron Melissa B | Sell | 1.98K | $1.33 | 2.63K |
| 2023-07-15 | Doshi Sunil M | Sell | 3.25K | $2.65 | 8.60K |
| 2023-07-15 | Briedis Holly | Sell | 2.28K | $2.65 | 6.05K |
| 2023-05-24 | Tifford Gail B | Buy | 35.48K | — | — |
| 2023-05-24 | Coulter Suzanne M | Buy | 35.48K | — | — |
Latest filed quarter: Q2 2026.
Institutions holding: 116, holders +22 vs prior quarter. Ownership 64.69%.
| Holder | Shares | Change | Change % | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NANTAHALA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | 5.51M | 101.10K | +1.87% | 22.79M |
| BLACKROCK, INC. | 3.69M | 2.84M | +333.39% | 15.26M |
| VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | 2.39M | 257.79K | +12.09% | 9.89M |
| HG VORA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | 2.16M | 0 | 0.00% | 8.96M |
| MILLER VALUE PARTNERS, LLC | 2.14M | -281.74K | -11.62% | 8.87M |
| AMERICAN CENTURY COMPANIES INC | 1.77M | 645.74K | +57.21% | 7.35M |
| ACADIAN ASSET MANAGEMENT LLC | 1.66M | 644.89K | +63.32% | 6.88M |
| GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | 1.36M | 761.52K | +126.48% | 5.65M |
| TWO SIGMA INVESTMENTS, LP | 1.36M | -2.95K | -0.22% | 5.62M |
| AMERIPRISE FINANCIAL INC | 1.32M | 156.96K | +13.54% | 5.45M |
| PRESCOTT GROUP CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.L.C. | 979.89K | 0 | 0.00% | 4.06M |
| KANEN WEALTH MANAGEMENT LLC | 872.80K | -260.00K | -22.95% | 3.66M |
| QUINN OPPORTUNITY PARTNERS LLC | 741.26K | -25.00K | -3.26% | 3.07M |
| CITADEL ADVISORS LLC | 630.54K | 597.24K | +1793.52% | 2.61M |
| MILLENNIUM MANAGEMENT LLC | 608.02K | -1.06M | -63.65% | 2.52M |
| STATE STREET CORP | 600.93K | 358.18K | +147.55% | 2.49M |
| BRIDGEWAY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | 560.70K | 9.90K | +1.80% | 2.32M |
| FUND 1 INVESTMENTS, LLC | 536.98K | 536.98K | New | 2.22M |
| MARSHALL WACE, LLP | 520.46K | -42.40K | -7.53% | 2.15M |
| SECURITY NATIONAL BANK | 493.20K | 493.20K | New | 2.04M |
| STOREBRAND ASSET MANAGEMENT AS | 449.42K | 0 | 0.00% | 1.86M |
| NORTHERN TRUST CORP | 439.39K | 313.98K | +250.36% | 1.82M |
| VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC | 366.98K | 366.98K | New | 1.52M |
| GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC | 360.80K | 34.62K | +10.62% | 1.49M |
| VANGUARD FIDUCIARY TRUST CO | 360.55K | 54.82K | +17.93% | 1.49M |
Fossil Group, Inc. (FOSL) trades at $6.63, with a market cap of $392.08M and a trailing P/E of -5.07. Revenue below is the annual history on file. It describes what the business has already reported. It is not a forecast and it is not a recommendation.
| 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3042371000 | 2788163000 | 2541488000 | 2217712000 | 1613343000 | 1870036000 | 1682439000 | 1412384000 | 1144990000 | 1004406000 |
Insights · Dividends · Forecast · Financials · Learn
$392.08M
Market Cap
-5.07
P/E
28.01
Forward P/E
—
Score