GEVO Stock Insights
GEVO$1.20+0.03 +2.14%
$295.45M
Market Cap
—
P/E
—
Forward P/E
—
Score
GEVO Stock Insights
GEVO price $1.20 +0.03 +2.14%
- Ticker
- GEVO
- Price
- $1.20
- Change
- +0.03 +2.14%
- Market cap ?
- $295.45M
- Beta ?
- 1.14
- Sector
- Basic Materials
- Industry
- Chemicals - Specialty
Fair value
GEVO fair value $1.94. Price $1.20. Price is 38% below fair value.
Fair value is an estimate of what one share is worth if future cash flows arrive as modeled. It is not a forecast of the share price. How discounted cash flow works.
Calculated with a 10-year free-cash-flow discount. Starting free cash flow 28.26M. Growth 20.00%. When analyst earnings forecasts are available, free cash flow in those years is forecast earnings times the company's usual conversion of earnings into free cash flow, kept between 60% and 130%. Years with fewer than 3 analyst estimates are left out. Growth then fades in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10, starting from the last well-covered year's growth, or from the pace across those years when the final year slows sharply, kept between 0% and 20%. Without those forecasts, year-1 growth is analyst revenue growth for the next full fiscal year, or 5-year historical revenue growth when that forecast is missing, held for five years, then fading in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10. Terminal growth 3.00%. Discount rate 10.55% (beta 1.1). Beta is kept between 0.8 and 2.0, which on its own would make the discount rate 8.7% to 15.3%. The rate is then capped at 12%. A cap is used because a discount above 12% pushes higher-beta stocks further from the price. The discount rate stays at least 5 percentage points above terminal growth. Shares 247.24M. Net debt 166.44M. The earnings value is next-12-months earnings per share, or trailing earnings when that forecast is missing, times the median P/E of the company's industry. That median uses listed stocks worth at least $10 billion with a positive P/E of 100 or below, and the industry needs at least eight of them. Otherwise the sector median is used when that group also has at least eight, then the market median of those large companies. The multiple used is the lower of that median and 1.25 times the stock's own 10-year median P/E, then kept between 8 and 30. If the stock has no 10-year median, the peer median is kept between 8 and 30. Fair value is the average of the cash-flow value and the earnings value when both exist. Card and credit companies use the earnings value only, because changes in customer receivables distort free cash flow. Model uncertainty is high when fair value is more than 60% from the price, or when most of the cash-flow value sits after year 10.
Earnings
| Date | EPS actual | EPS estimate | Revenue | Revenue estimate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-09 | — | 0.04 | — | 56.25M |
| 2026-08-06 | -0.01 | -0.02 | 46.50M | 46.40M |
| 2026-05-07 | -0.05 | -0.02 | 42.95M | 44.90M |
| 2026-03-05 | -0.02 | -0.03 | 45.00M | 44.39M |
| 2025-11-10 | -0.03 | -0.04 | 42.71M | 43.52M |
| 2025-08-11 | 0.01 | -0.06 | 43.41M | 46.46M |
| 2025-05-13 | -0.09 | -0.10 | 29.11M | 26.35M |
| 2025-03-27 | -0.09 | -0.11 | 5.70M | 3.85M |
| 2024-11-07 | -0.09 | -0.07 | 1.97M | 3.77M |
| 2024-08-08 | -0.09 | -0.08 | 5.26M | 4.38M |
| 2024-05-02 | -0.08 | -0.07 | 3.99M | 4.38M |
| 2024-03-07 | -0.08 | -0.05 | 4.37M | 4.42M |
| 2023-11-13 | -0.07 | -0.05 | 4.53M | 4.13M |
| 2023-08-10 | -0.06 | -0.05 | 4.24M | 4.00M |
| 2023-05-10 | -0.07 | -0.06 | 4.06M | 2.81M |
| 2023-03-09 | -0.11 | -0.06 | 545.00K | 1.92M |
| 2022-11-08 | -0.19 | -0.07 | 309.00K | 1.22M |
| 2022-08-08 | -0.06 | -0.08 | 89.00K | 386.67K |
| 2022-05-09 | -0.08 | -0.07 | 232.00K | 80.33K |
| 2022-02-24 | -0.08 | -0.07 | 54.00K | 631.00K |
| 2021-11-10 | -0.07 | -0.07 | 120.00K | 142.00K |
| 2021-08-12 | -0.07 | -0.05 | 346.00K | 256.90K |
| 2021-05-13 | -0.05 | -0.04 | 93.00K | 340.00K |
| 2021-03-17 | -0.07 | -0.03 | 421.00K | — |
| 2020-11-10 | -0.08 | -0.10 | 192.00K | — |
| 2020-08-10 | -0.39 | -0.25 | 942.00K | 617.50K |
| 2020-05-12 | -0.59 | -0.44 | 3.83M | 2.63M |
| 2020-03-17 | -0.50 | -0.53 | 6.89M | 7.30M |
| 2019-11-12 | -0.66 | -0.55 | 6.10M | 5.09M |
| 2019-08-14 | -0.60 | -0.37 | 5.06M | 3.14M |
| 2019-05-08 | -0.60 | -0.47 | 6.40M | 5.02M |
| 2019-03-27 | -0.83 | -0.66 | 6.62M | 5.27M |
| 2018-11-06 | -0.85 | -0.60 | 8.57M | 6.05M |
| 2018-08-08 | -3.31 | -5.80 | 9.42M | 7.60M |
| 2018-05-10 | -2.20 | -4.80 | 8.22M | 17.98M |
| 2018-03-28 | -4.00 | -5.20 | 6.62M | 8.68M |
| 2017-11-06 | -7.20 | -8.20 | 7.70M | 12.63M |
| 2017-08-03 | -11.00 | -15.70 | 7.54M | 8.97M |
| 2017-05-09 | -10.20 | -11.40 | 5.62M | 6.28M |
| 2017-03-29 | -22.80 | -19.20 | 5.79M | 16.99M |
Dividends
Yield 0.00%. Payout ratio 0.00%. Frequency —.
Safety score 37/100 · Watch. Payout ratio is 0% of earnings. Free-cash-flow coverage is not available, so this part stays neutral. No dividend history was found. There is no dividend yield.
| Ex-date | Dividend | Record | Payment | Frequency |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No data yet. | ||||
Insider trades
| Date | Insider | Action | Shares | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Bowron Kimberly T | Sell | 1.22K | $1.71 | 2.09K |
| 2026-09-03 | Bloom Paul D | Sell | 1.51K | $1.71 | 2.59K |
| 2026-09-03 | Gruber Patrick R. | Sell | 3.33K | $1.70 | 5.67K |
| 2026-08-21 | Kettner David Michael | Buy | 12.50K | $1.55 | 19.37K |
| 2026-08-21 | Barber James J | Buy | 50.00K | $1.54 | 77.00K |
| 2026-08-20 | Hanselman Greg Edwin | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-08-20 | Hanselman Greg Edwin | Other | 175.07K | $1.64 | 287.12K |
| 2026-08-20 | Werpy Todd Allen | Buy | 62.58K | — | — |
| 2026-08-20 | Werpy Todd Allen | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-08-13 | Bloom Paul D | Buy | 50.00K | $1.18 | 59.00K |
| 2026-08-13 | Bloom Paul D | Sell | 50.00K | $1.18 | 59.00K |
| 2026-08-06 | Gruber Patrick R. | Sell | 247.64K | $1.51 | 373.82K |
| 2026-08-06 | Bowron Kimberly T | Sell | 10.26K | $1.55 | 15.86K |
| 2026-08-06 | Agiri Oluwagbemileke Yusuf | Sell | 18.22K | $1.54 | 28.03K |
| 2026-08-06 | Bloom Paul D | Sell | 31.10K | $1.55 | 48.07K |
| 2026-06-12 | Gruber Patrick R. | Sell | 157.56K | $1.40 | 220.86K |
| 2026-06-12 | Agiri Oluwagbemileke Yusuf | Sell | 63.03K | $1.40 | 88.08K |
| 2026-06-12 | Bowron Kimberly T | Sell | 15.47K | $1.43 | 22.05K |
| 2026-06-12 | Gendenjamts Davaajargal | Sell | 4.29K | $1.43 | 6.12K |
| 2026-06-12 | Shafer Andrew | Sell | 9.44K | $1.43 | 13.46K |
| 2026-06-12 | Ryan Christopher Michael | Sell | 35.20K | $1.43 | 50.16K |
| 2026-06-12 | Bloom Paul D | Sell | 35.19K | $1.43 | 50.15K |
| 2026-05-27 | Mize Gary W. | Buy | 70.00K | — | — |
| 2026-05-27 | Marsh Andrew | Buy | 70.00K | — | — |
| 2026-05-27 | Guillen Jaime | Buy | 70.00K | — | — |
| 2026-05-27 | Ellet Mary Kathryn | Buy | 70.00K | — | — |
| 2026-05-27 | BAUM WILLIAM H | Buy | 80.89K | $1.80 | 145.61K |
| 2026-05-27 | Barber James J | Buy | 70.00K | — | — |
| 2026-05-27 | Gruber Patrick R. | Buy | 70.00K | — | — |
| 2026-05-27 | Gruber Patrick R. | Sell | 186.47K | $1.76 | 328.15K |
| 2026-05-27 | Shafer Andrew | Sell | 32.67K | $1.76 | 57.49K |
| 2026-05-27 | Bowron Kimberly T | Sell | 25.10K | $1.76 | 44.17K |
| 2026-05-27 | Agiri Oluwagbemileke Yusuf | Sell | 31.96K | $1.77 | 56.65K |
| 2026-05-27 | Ryan Christopher Michael | Sell | 87.70K | $1.76 | 154.33K |
| 2026-05-27 | Bloom Paul D | Sell | 75.73K | $1.76 | 133.28K |
| 2026-05-20 | JAMES KYLE DEAN | Buy | 133.23K | — | — |
| 2026-05-20 | JAMES KYLE DEAN | Buy | 153.94K | $1.64 | 252.46K |
| 2026-05-20 | Kettner David Michael | Buy | 133.23K | — | — |
| 2026-05-20 | Kettner David Michael | Buy | 153.94K | $1.64 | 252.46K |
| 2026-05-20 | Gendenjamts Davaajargal | Buy | 52.94K | — | — |
| 2026-05-20 | Gendenjamts Davaajargal | Buy | 61.17K | $1.64 | 100.32K |
| 2026-05-20 | Fitzgerald Lindsay Clinton | Buy | 59.45K | — | — |
| 2026-05-20 | Fitzgerald Lindsay Clinton | Buy | 68.69K | $1.64 | 112.65K |
| 2026-05-20 | Shafer Andrew | Buy | 82.89K | — | — |
| 2026-05-20 | Shafer Andrew | Buy | 95.78K | $1.64 | 157.08K |
| 2026-05-20 | Bowron Kimberly T | Buy | 255.64K | — | — |
| 2026-05-20 | Bowron Kimberly T | Buy | 295.37K | $1.64 | 484.40K |
| 2026-05-20 | Agiri Oluwagbemileke Yusuf | Buy | 304.88K | — | — |
| 2026-05-20 | Agiri Oluwagbemileke Yusuf | Buy | 352.26K | $1.64 | 577.70K |
| 2026-05-20 | Bloom Paul D | Buy | 670.73K | — | — |
| 2026-05-20 | Bloom Paul D | Buy | 774.97K | $1.64 | 1.27M |
| 2026-05-01 | Shafer Andrew | Buy | 5.55K | $0.71 | 3.94K |
| 2026-05-01 | Shafer Andrew | Sell | 5.55K | $2.00 | 11.10K |
| 2026-05-01 | Shafer Andrew | Sell | 5.55K | $0.71 | 3.94K |
| 2026-04-01 | JAMES KYLE DEAN | Sell | 25.12K | $2.40 | 60.28K |
| 2026-04-01 | Kettner David Michael | Sell | 27.28K | $2.40 | 65.47K |
| 2026-04-01 | Kettner David Michael | Buy | 158.33K | — | — |
| 2026-04-01 | Kettner David Michael | Sell | 25.12K | $2.40 | 60.28K |
| 2026-04-01 | JAMES KYLE DEAN | Buy | 158.33K | — | — |
| 2026-04-01 | JAMES KYLE DEAN | Sell | 27.28K | $2.40 | 65.47K |
| 2026-04-01 | JAMES KYLE DEAN | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-04-01 | Shafer Andrew | Buy | 5.55K | $0.71 | 3.94K |
| 2026-04-01 | Shafer Andrew | Sell | 5.55K | $2.71 | 15.03K |
| 2026-04-01 | Shafer Andrew | Sell | 5.55K | $0.71 | 3.94K |
| 2026-03-31 | Ryan Christopher Michael | Sell | 29.80K | $2.96 | 88.18K |
| 2026-03-30 | Kettner David Michael | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-03-30 | Ryan Christopher Michael | Sell | 100.00K | $2.76 | 275.74K |
| 2026-03-12 | Mize Gary W. | Sell | 107.10K | $2.33 | 250.08K |
| 2026-03-12 | Fitzgerald Lindsay Clinton | Sell | 20.00K | $2.51 | 50.12K |
| 2026-03-10 | Shafer Andrew | Buy | 5.55K | $0.71 | 3.94K |
| 2026-03-10 | Shafer Andrew | Sell | 5.55K | $2.21 | 12.24K |
| 2026-03-10 | Shafer Andrew | Buy | 5.55K | $0.71 | 3.94K |
| 2026-01-20 | Shafer Andrew | Sell | 5.00K | $1.99 | 9.94K |
| 2026-01-01 | Agiri Oluwagbemileke Yusuf | Buy | 10.00K | — | — |
| 2025-12-22 | Shafer Andrew | Sell | 5.00K | $2.19 | 10.97K |
| 2025-12-05 | Agiri Oluwagbemileke Yusuf | Buy | 31.96K | $0.71 | 22.69K |
| 2025-12-05 | Agiri Oluwagbemileke Yusuf | Buy | 36.45K | $1.59 | 57.95K |
| 2025-12-05 | Agiri Oluwagbemileke Yusuf | Sell | 73.28K | $2.31 | 169.18K |
| 2025-12-05 | Agiri Oluwagbemileke Yusuf | Buy | 31.96K | $0.71 | 22.69K |
| 2025-12-05 | Agiri Oluwagbemileke Yusuf | Buy | 36.45K | $1.59 | 57.95K |
| 2025-12-04 | Gendenjamts Davaajargal | Sell | 2.56K | $2.32 | 5.94K |
| 2025-11-20 | Shafer Andrew | Sell | 5.00K | $1.99 | 9.94K |
| 2025-11-13 | Battershell Carol Jane | Buy | 224.64K | $0.67 | 150.51K |
| 2025-11-13 | Battershell Carol Jane | Sell | 75.60K | $2.02 | 152.78K |
| 2025-11-13 | Battershell Carol Jane | Sell | 224.64K | $0.67 | 150.51K |
| 2025-11-03 | Shafer Andrew | Sell | 29.80K | $2.28 | 67.97K |
| 2025-10-20 | Shafer Andrew | Sell | 5.00K | $2.53 | 12.65K |
| 2025-10-15 | Ryan Christopher Michael | Sell | 100.00K | $2.82 | 281.87K |
| 2025-10-14 | Amorelli Angelo | Buy | 100.00K | $0.67 | 67.00K |
| 2025-10-14 | Amorelli Angelo | Sell | 100.00K | $0.67 | 67.00K |
| 2025-10-14 | Amorelli Angelo | Sell | 100.00K | $2.50 | 250.27K |
| 2025-09-22 | Shafer Andrew | Sell | 5.00K | $2.01 | 10.06K |
| 2025-09-17 | Bloom Paul D | Sell | 75.00K | $2.01 | 150.43K |
| 2025-09-04 | Bowron Kimberly T | Sell | 1.53K | $1.63 | 2.49K |
| 2025-09-04 | Agiri Oluwagbemileke Yusuf | Sell | 1.73K | $1.63 | 2.82K |
| 2025-09-04 | Bloom Paul D | Sell | 2.09K | $1.63 | 3.41K |
| 2025-09-04 | Ryan Christopher Michael | Sell | 1.68K | $1.63 | 2.74K |
| 2025-09-04 | Gruber Patrick R. | Sell | 1.64K | $1.63 | 2.68K |
| 2025-08-20 | Agiri Oluwagbemileke Yusuf | Sell | 57.65K | $1.63 | 93.94K |
| 2025-08-20 | Shafer Andrew | Sell | 5.00K | $1.58 | 7.92K |
Institutional holders
Latest filed quarter: Q2 2026.
Institutions holding: 157, holders -13 vs prior quarter. Ownership 39.10%.
| Holder | Shares | Change | Change % | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BLACKROCK, INC. | 18.33M | 1.01M | +5.82% | 27.49M |
| STATE STREET CORP | 13.43M | 4.36M | +48.14% | 20.15M |
| VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | 10.25M | 120.69K | +1.19% | 15.38M |
| GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | 6.27M | 391.94K | +6.66% | 9.41M |
| INVESCO LTD. | 5.58M | 2.23M | +66.46% | 8.36M |
| VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC | 5.47M | 369.97K | +7.25% | 8.21M |
| UBS GROUP AG | 3.35M | 1.16M | +53.12% | 5.02M |
| FIRST BANK & TRUST | 3.06M | 0 | 0.00% | 4.60M |
| NUVEEN, LLC | 2.81M | -796.50K | -22.10% | 4.21M |
| BANK OF AMERICA CORP /DE/ | 2.20M | 17.35K | +0.79% | 3.31M |
| NORTHERN TRUST CORP | 1.90M | 142.85K | +8.15% | 2.84M |
| VANGUARD FIDUCIARY TRUST CO | 1.59M | 46.38K | +3.00% | 2.39M |
| GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC | 1.51M | -2.37M | -61.17% | 2.26M |
| GRANTHAM, MAYO, VAN OTTERLOO & CO. LLC | 1.44M | -35.20K | -2.38% | 2.17M |
| CITADEL ADVISORS LLC | 1.21M | 1.11M | +1061.61% | 1.82M |
| SUSQUEHANNA INTERNATIONAL GROUP, LLP | 1.18M | 1.10M | +1396.45% | 1.77M |
| J. DEREK LEWIS & ASSOCIATES INC. | 778.00K | 243.00K | +45.42% | 1.17M |
| SIXTH STREET PARTNERS MANAGEMENT COMPANY, L.P. | 721.35K | 721.35K | New | 1.08M |
| CHARLES SCHWAB INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT INC | 721.35K | 69.00K | +10.58% | 1.08M |
| BARCLAYS PLC | 670.51K | 322.16K | +92.48% | 1.01M |
| FIRST TRUST ADVISORS LP | 653.05K | 121.70K | +22.90% | 979.58K |
| BANK OF NEW YORK MELLON CORP | 617.30K | 45.53K | +7.96% | 925.95K |
| LOS ANGELES CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | 528.89K | 207.37K | +64.49% | 793.34K |
| INSPIRE INVESTING, LLC | 457.90K | 267.68K | +140.71% | 686.85K |
| MILLENNIUM MANAGEMENT LLC | 447.53K | 447.53K | New | 671.29K |
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