El Pollo Loco (LOCO) Financials: Revenue & Earnings
LOCO$14.91+0.29 +1.98%
$453.76M
Market Cap
—
P/E
—
Forward P/E
—
Score
El Pollo Loco (LOCO) Financials: Revenue & Earnings
LOCO price $14.91 +0.29 +1.98%
- Ticker
- LOCO
- Price
- $14.91
- Change
- +0.29 +1.98%
- Market cap ?
- $453.76M
- Beta ?
- 0.67
- Sector
- Consumer Cyclical
- Industry
- Restaurants
Fair value
LOCO fair value $16.39. Price $14.91. Price is 9% below fair value.
Below fair value, and cheaper than usual. A larger discount than on 69% of days in the past 5 years.
Fair value is an estimate of what one share is worth if future cash flows arrive as modeled. It is not a forecast of the share price. How discounted cash flow works.
Calculated with a 10-year free-cash-flow discount. Starting free cash flow 41.01M. Growth 8.01%. When analyst earnings forecasts are available, free cash flow in those years is forecast earnings times the company's usual conversion of earnings into free cash flow, kept between 60% and 130%. Years with fewer than 3 analyst estimates are left out. Growth then fades in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10, starting from the last well-covered year's growth, or from the pace across those years when the final year slows sharply, kept between 0% and 20%. Without those forecasts, year-1 growth is analyst revenue growth for the next full fiscal year, or 5-year historical revenue growth when that forecast is missing, held for five years, then fading in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10. Terminal growth 3.00%. Discount rate 8.70% (beta 0.8). Beta is kept between 0.8 and 2.0, which on its own would make the discount rate 8.7% to 15.3%. The rate is then capped at 12%. A cap is used because a discount above 12% pushes higher-beta stocks further from the price. The discount rate stays at least 5 percentage points above terminal growth. Shares 30.43M. Net debt 233.34M. The earnings value is next-12-months earnings per share, or trailing earnings when that forecast is missing, times the stock's own 10-year median P/E, kept between 8 and 40. Fewer than five years of history uses the sector's typical P/E. Fair value is the average of the cash-flow value and the earnings value when both exist. Model uncertainty is high when fair value is more than 60% from the price, or when most of the cash-flow value sits after year 10.
Earnings
| Date | EPS actual | EPS estimate | Revenue | Revenue estimate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-05 | — | 0.24 | — | 127.03M |
| 2026-08-06 | 0.30 | 0.28 | 129.57M | 130.29M |
| 2026-05-07 | 0.28 | 0.22 | 126.18M | 122.02M |
| 2026-03-12 | 0.25 | 0.21 | 123.52M | 122.58M |
| 2025-10-30 | 0.27 | 0.23 | 121.52M | 122.18M |
| 2025-07-31 | 0.28 | 0.25 | 125.83M | 124.81M |
| 2025-05-01 | 0.19 | 0.20 | 119.18M | 118.20M |
| 2025-03-06 | 0.20 | 0.14 | 114.28M | 113.19M |
| 2024-10-31 | 0.21 | 0.17 | 120.39M | 113.24M |
| 2024-08-01 | 0.26 | 0.21 | 122.18M | 120.39M |
| 2024-05-02 | 0.22 | 0.14 | 116.15M | 111.08M |
| 2024-03-07 | 0.16 | 0.16 | 112.25M | 109.07M |
| 2023-11-02 | 0.19 | 0.18 | 120.40M | 110.51M |
| 2023-08-03 | 0.23 | 0.21 | 121.49M | 124.74M |
| 2023-05-04 | 0.14 | 0.11 | 114.53M | 113.43M |
| 2023-03-09 | 0.16 | 0.14 | 115.92M | 115.35M |
| 2022-11-03 | 0.14 | 0.12 | 119.88M | 115.75M |
| 2022-08-04 | 0.21 | 0.19 | 124.11M | 125.22M |
| 2022-05-04 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 110.05M | 106.69M |
| 2022-03-10 | 0.17 | 0.12 | 108.96M | 108.46M |
| 2021-11-04 | 0.27 | 0.22 | 115.70M | 122.62M |
| 2021-08-05 | 0.29 | 0.26 | 121.98M | 121.98M |
| 2021-05-06 | 0.13 | 0.12 | 107.72M | 111.61M |
| 2021-03-11 | 0.16 | 0.15 | 110.34M | — |
| 2020-10-29 | 0.28 | 0.22 | 110.98M | 248.09M |
| 2020-07-30 | 0.20 | 0.05 | 99.60M | 24.90M |
| 2020-04-30 | 0.16 | 0.11 | 105.16M | 65.73M |
| 2020-03-05 | 0.18 | 0.15 | 107.55M | 95.60M |
| 2019-10-31 | 0.20 | 0.18 | 112.07M | 100.86M |
| 2019-08-01 | 0.23 | 0.21 | 113.74M | 103.85M |
| 2019-05-02 | 0.15 | 0.16 | 108.98M | 116.24M |
| 2019-03-07 | 0.16 | 0.14 | 106.26M | 92.98M |
| 2018-11-01 | 0.19 | 0.18 | 112.18M | 106.27M |
| 2018-08-02 | 0.22 | 0.22 | 111.63M | 111.60M |
| 2018-05-03 | 0.17 | 0.16 | 105.76M | 105.80M |
| 2018-03-08 | 0.11 | 0.10 | 95.20M | 86.55M |
| 2017-11-02 | 0.15 | 0.18 | 101.16M | 121.44M |
| 2017-08-03 | 0.21 | 0.20 | 105.57M | 100.57M |
| 2017-05-04 | 0.16 | 0.14 | 99.77M | 87.33M |
| 2017-03-09 | 0.12 | 0.13 | 92.48M | 100.21M |
Dividends
Yield 0.00%. Payout ratio 0.00%. Frequency Special.
Safety score 43/100 · Watch. Payout ratio is 0% of earnings. Free-cash-flow coverage is not available, so this part stays neutral. Dividend history is short. There is no dividend yield.
| Ex-date | Dividend | Record | Payment | Frequency |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-21 | $1.50 | 2022-10-24 | 2022-11-09 | Special |
Insider trades
| Date | Insider | Action | Shares | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-16 | BIGLARI, SARDAR | Sell | 25.56K | $16.50 | 421.67K |
| 2026-08-23 | Fils Ira | Sell | 7.21K | $16.03 | 115.62K |
| 2026-08-07 | BIGLARI, SARDAR | Sell | 550 | $17.06 | 9.38K |
| 2026-08-07 | BIGLARI, SARDAR | Sell | 550 | $17.06 | 9.38K |
| 2026-08-05 | BIGLARI, SARDAR | Sell | 40.00K | $16.90 | 676.00K |
| 2026-08-05 | BIGLARI, SARDAR | Sell | 40.00K | $16.90 | 676.00K |
| 2026-08-03 | BIGLARI, SARDAR | Sell | 10.00K | $16.73 | 167.30K |
| 2026-08-03 | BIGLARI, SARDAR | Sell | 10.00K | $16.73 | 167.30K |
| 2026-07-30 | BIGLARI, SARDAR | Sell | 273 | $16.70 | 4.56K |
| 2026-07-30 | BIGLARI, SARDAR | Sell | 273 | $16.70 | 4.56K |
| 2026-07-29 | BIGLARI, SARDAR | Sell | 3.31K | $16.71 | 55.24K |
| 2026-07-29 | BIGLARI, SARDAR | Sell | 3.31K | $16.71 | 55.23K |
| 2026-07-17 | BIGLARI, SARDAR | Sell | 11.00K | $16.71 | 183.81K |
| 2026-07-16 | BIGLARI, SARDAR | Sell | 2.75K | $16.70 | 45.91K |
| 2026-07-15 | BIGLARI, SARDAR | Sell | 6.53K | $16.71 | 109.17K |
| 2026-07-14 | BIGLARI, SARDAR | Sell | 1.21K | $16.73 | 20.26K |
| 2026-07-13 | BIGLARI, SARDAR | Sell | 75.00K | $16.74 | 1.26M |
| 2026-07-02 | BIGLARI, SARDAR | Sell | 9.53K | $16.92 | 161.16K |
| 2026-07-01 | BIGLARI, SARDAR | Sell | 132.42K | $17.27 | 2.29M |
| 2026-06-30 | BIGLARI, SARDAR | Sell | 22.60K | $16.91 | 382.17K |
| 2026-06-29 | BIGLARI, SARDAR | Sell | 100.00K | $16.58 | 1.66M |
| 2026-06-26 | BIGLARI, SARDAR | Sell | 100.00K | $16.75 | 1.68M |
| 2026-05-29 | Fils Ira | Sell | 2.14K | $13.95 | 29.91K |
| 2026-05-29 | Williams Elizabeth Goodman | Sell | 10.52K | $13.95 | 146.80K |
| 2026-05-09 | Fils Ira | Sell | 2.48K | $14.00 | 34.66K |
| 2026-03-17 | Wright Robert D. | Buy | 8.26K | — | — |
| 2026-03-17 | DAVILA TANA | Buy | 8.26K | — | — |
| 2026-03-17 | GARRIDO FRANK | Buy | 8.26K | — | — |
| 2026-03-17 | Gonzalez Deborah | Buy | 8.26K | — | — |
| 2026-03-17 | Faginas Cody Nancy | Buy | 8.26K | — | — |
| 2026-03-17 | BABB DOUGLAS J | Buy | 12.01K | — | — |
| 2026-03-17 | Taylor Joseph G | Buy | 8.26K | — | — |
| 2026-03-17 | Fils Ira | Buy | 15.02K | — | — |
| 2026-03-17 | Fils Ira | Buy | 32.63K | $13.32 | 434.58K |
| 2026-03-17 | Williams Elizabeth Goodman | Buy | 53.80K | — | — |
| 2026-03-17 | Williams Elizabeth Goodman | Buy | 116.91K | $13.32 | 1.56M |
| 2026-03-11 | Fils Ira | Sell | 2.30K | $11.10 | 25.49K |
| 2026-03-11 | Williams Elizabeth Goodman | Sell | 12.27K | $11.10 | 136.22K |
| 2026-03-01 | GARRIDO FRANK | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-01-01 | DAVILA TANA | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-01-01 | Wright Robert D. | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2025-12-31 | Williams Elizabeth Goodman | Buy | 42.82K | — | — |
| 2025-12-31 | Williams Elizabeth Goodman | Sell | 7.68K | $10.50 | 80.66K |
| 2025-08-23 | Fils Ira | Sell | 4.78K | $10.68 | 51.09K |
| 2025-06-06 | Buller Mark | Sell | 11.36K | $11.00 | 124.99K |
| 2025-05-29 | Williams Elizabeth Goodman | Sell | 10.92K | $9.90 | 108.15K |
| 2025-05-29 | Fils Ira | Sell | 2.14K | $9.90 | 21.18K |
| 2025-05-29 | Hollandsworth Maria | Sell | 2.78K | $9.90 | 27.52K |
| 2025-05-15 | Hollandsworth Maria | Sell | 8.10K | $9.50 | 76.90K |
| 2025-05-09 | Fils Ira | Sell | 2.47K | $9.01 | 22.25K |
| 2025-05-09 | Hollandsworth Maria | Sell | 1.24K | $9.01 | 11.13K |
| 2025-03-11 | Borgese Samuel N. | Buy | 8.64K | — | — |
| 2025-03-11 | Williams Elizabeth Goodman | Buy | 68.78K | — | — |
| 2025-03-11 | Williams Elizabeth Goodman | Sell | 4.03K | $10.42 | 42.02K |
| 2025-03-11 | Williams Elizabeth Goodman | Buy | 145.37K | $10.42 | 1.51M |
| 2025-03-11 | Borgese Samuel N. | Buy | 8.64K | — | — |
| 2025-03-11 | Taylor Joseph G | Buy | 8.64K | — | — |
| 2025-03-11 | Buller Mark | Buy | 8.64K | — | — |
| 2025-03-11 | BABB DOUGLAS J | Buy | 8.64K | — | — |
| 2025-03-11 | Faginas Cody Nancy | Buy | 8.64K | — | — |
| 2025-03-11 | Hollandsworth Maria | Buy | 12.00K | $10.42 | 125.00K |
| 2025-03-11 | Hollandsworth Maria | Buy | 25.36K | $10.42 | 264.20K |
| 2025-03-11 | FLOYD WILLIAM R | Buy | 13.44K | — | — |
| 2025-03-11 | Fils Ira | Buy | 19.19K | — | — |
| 2025-03-11 | Fils Ira | Buy | 40.57K | $10.42 | 422.72K |
| 2025-03-11 | Gonzalez Deborah | Buy | 8.64K | — | — |
| 2025-03-07 | Williams Elizabeth Goodman | Buy | 45.38K | — | — |
| 2025-03-07 | Williams Elizabeth Goodman | Sell | 5.58K | $10.63 | 59.27K |
| 2025-01-13 | Taylor Joseph G | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2024-11-07 | Fils Ira | Sell | 6.66K | $12.91 | 85.97K |
| 2024-11-07 | Hollandsworth Maria | Sell | 9.13K | $12.91 | 117.82K |
| 2024-08-23 | Fils Ira | Sell | 4.73K | $13.36 | 63.21K |
| 2024-08-22 | BIGLARI, SARDAR | Buy | 4.52K | $13.48 | 60.88K |
| 2024-08-21 | BIGLARI, SARDAR | Buy | 43.16K | $13.59 | 586.56K |
| 2024-08-20 | BIGLARI, SARDAR | Buy | 100.00K | $13.42 | 1.34M |
| 2024-08-19 | BIGLARI, SARDAR | Buy | 62.33K | $13.46 | 838.95K |
| 2024-08-16 | BIGLARI, SARDAR | Buy | 21.32K | $13.13 | 280.00K |
| 2024-08-15 | BIGLARI, SARDAR | Buy | 50.55K | $13.00 | 657.20K |
| 2024-08-14 | BIGLARI, SARDAR | Buy | 62.36K | $12.47 | 777.65K |
| 2024-08-13 | Biglari Reinsurance Ltd. | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2024-08-13 | Biglari Reinsurance Ltd. | Sell | 0 | — | — |
| 2024-08-08 | Buller Mark | Sell | 10.50K | $11.76 | 123.48K |
| 2024-05-29 | Fils Ira | Buy | 23.90K | — | — |
| 2024-05-29 | Fils Ira | Buy | 47.62K | $10.46 | 498.09K |
| 2024-05-29 | Hollandsworth Maria | Buy | 31.07K | — | — |
| 2024-05-29 | Hollandsworth Maria | Buy | 61.91K | $10.46 | 647.53K |
| 2024-05-29 | Williams Elizabeth Goodman | Buy | 171.43K | $10.46 | 1.79M |
| 2024-05-29 | Williams Elizabeth Goodman | Buy | 86.04K | — | — |
| 2024-05-29 | BABB DOUGLAS J | Buy | 8.60K | — | — |
| 2024-05-29 | Borgese Samuel N. | Buy | 8.60K | — | — |
| 2024-05-29 | Buller Mark | Buy | 8.60K | — | — |
| 2024-05-29 | Faginas Cody Nancy | Buy | 8.60K | — | — |
| 2024-05-29 | FLOYD WILLIAM R | Buy | 13.38K | — | — |
| 2024-05-29 | Gonzalez Deborah | Buy | 8.60K | — | — |
| 2024-05-15 | Borgese Samuel N. | Sell | 1.14K | $11.01 | 12.55K |
| 2024-05-15 | Hollandsworth Maria | Buy | 45.25K | — | — |
| 2024-05-13 | Borgese Samuel N. | Sell | 1.90K | $10.96 | 20.80K |
| 2024-05-09 | Borgese Samuel N. | Sell | 9.93K | $10.48 | 104.11K |
| 2024-05-09 | Hollandsworth Maria | Sell | 1.42K | $10.35 | 14.66K |
| 2024-05-09 | Fils Ira | Sell | 2.35K | $10.35 | 24.34K |
Institutional holders
Latest filed quarter: Q2 2026.
Institutions holding: 154, holders +11 vs prior quarter. Ownership 97.41%.
| Holder | Shares | Change | Change % | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BIGLARI CAPITAL CORP. | 3.78M | -222.60K | -5.56% | 64.06M |
| BLACKROCK, INC. | 2.46M | 175.47K | +7.68% | 41.72M |
| DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP | 2.05M | 36.11K | +1.79% | 34.76M |
| LSV ASSET MANAGEMENT | 1.47M | 14.69K | +1.01% | 24.96M |
| GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC | 1.26M | 164.92K | +15.12% | 21.30M |
| VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | 1.11M | 18.79K | +1.72% | 18.81M |
| TIETON CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | 1.03M | -23.57K | -2.23% | 17.54M |
| FIRST EAGLE INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT, LLC | 995.80K | 420.51K | +73.09% | 16.89M |
| TWO SIGMA INVESTMENTS, LP | 906.68K | 264.58K | +41.20% | 15.38M |
| GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | 887.62K | 219.91K | +32.93% | 15.06M |
| ARROWSTREET CAPITAL, LIMITED PARTNERSHIP | 729.89K | 174.81K | +31.49% | 12.38M |
| HILLSDALE INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT INC. | 656.10K | 72.30K | +12.38% | 11.13M |
| STATE STREET CORP | 628.22K | 21.91K | +3.61% | 10.65M |
| BIGLARI, SARDAR | 489.25K | 0 | 0.00% | 8.30M |
| MONIMUS CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LP | 455.98K | 17.71K | +4.04% | 7.73M |
| PRUDENTIAL FINANCIAL INC | 449.93K | -68.97K | -13.29% | 7.63M |
| BRIDGEWAY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | 428.72K | 4.47K | +1.05% | 7.27M |
| ARCHON CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | 420.69K | 306.19K | +267.41% | 7.13M |
| RENAISSANCE TECHNOLOGIES LLC | 418.40K | 112.20K | +36.64% | 7.10M |
| DIVISADERO STREET CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LP | 409.93K | -22.37K | -5.17% | 6.95M |
| HOTCHKIS & WILEY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | 371.37K | -154.09K | -29.32% | 6.30M |
| RODGERS BROTHERS INC. | 352.30K | -9.25K | -2.56% | 5.98M |
| UBS GROUP AG | 336.59K | 284.44K | +545.37% | 5.71M |
| MORGAN STANLEY | 316.18K | 133.48K | +73.06% | 5.36M |
| ASSENAGON ASSET MANAGEMENT S.A. | 301.50K | 148.74K | +97.36% | 5.11M |
Earnings and financials
El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc. (LOCO) trades at $14.91, with a market cap of $453.76M and a trailing P/E of n/a. Revenue below is the annual history on file. It describes what the business has already reported. It is not a forecast and it is not a recommendation.
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