Pattern Group Inc. Series A (PTRN) Stock Insights

PTRN price $16.53 +0.26 +1.60%

Ticker
PTRN
Price
$16.53
Change
+0.26 +1.60%
Market cap ?
$2.57B
Beta ?
1.23
Sector
Communication Services
Industry
Advertising Agencies

Fair value

PTRN fair value $12.29. Price $16.53. Price is 35% above fair value.

Above fair value, but less expensive than usual. A smaller premium than on 96% of days in the past 5 years.

Fair value is an estimate of what one share is worth if future cash flows arrive as modeled. It is not a forecast of the share price. How discounted cash flow works.

Calculated with a 10-year free-cash-flow discount. Starting free cash flow 106.13M. Growth 20.00%. When analyst earnings forecasts are available, free cash flow in those years is forecast earnings times the company's usual conversion of earnings into free cash flow, kept between 60% and 130%. Years with fewer than 3 analyst estimates are left out. Growth then fades in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10, starting from the last well-covered year's growth, or from the pace across those years when the final year slows sharply, kept between 0% and 20%. Without those forecasts, year-1 growth is analyst revenue growth for the next full fiscal year, or 5-year historical revenue growth when that forecast is missing, held for five years, then fading in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10. Terminal growth 3.00%. Discount rate 11.04% (beta 1.2). Beta is kept between 0.8 and 2.0, which on its own would make the discount rate 8.7% to 15.3%. The rate is then capped at 12%. A cap is used because a discount above 12% pushes higher-beta stocks further from the price. The discount rate stays at least 5 percentage points above terminal growth. Shares 155.70M. Net debt -258.21M. The earnings value is next-12-months earnings per share, or trailing earnings when that forecast is missing, times the median P/E of the company's industry. That median uses listed stocks worth at least $10 billion with a positive P/E of 100 or below, and the industry needs at least eight of them. Otherwise the sector median is used when that group also has at least eight, then the market median of those large companies. The multiple used is the lower of that median and 1.25 times the stock's own 10-year median P/E, then kept between 8 and 30. If the stock has no 10-year median, the peer median is kept between 8 and 30. Fair value is the average of the cash-flow value and the earnings value when both exist. Card and credit companies use the earnings value only, because changes in customer receivables distort free cash flow. Model uncertainty is high when fair value is more than 60% from the price, or when most of the cash-flow value sits after year 10.

Compare PTRN

Earnings

DateEPS actualEPS estimateRevenueRevenue estimate
2026-11-04—0.15—853.72M
2026-08-050.150.12876.77M817.15M
2026-05-060.160.10773.73M716.75M
2026-03-050.160.11723.10M716.43M
2025-11-05-2.19-2.71639.65M691.52M
2025-08-220.20—598.15M572.68M

Dividends

Yield 0.00%. Payout ratio 0.00%. Frequency —.

Safety score 37/100 · Watch. Payout ratio is 0% of earnings. Free-cash-flow coverage is not available, so this part stays neutral. No dividend history was found. There is no dividend yield.

Ex-dateDividendRecordPaymentFrequency
No data yet.

Insider trades

DateInsiderActionSharesPriceValue
2026-09-01Wright David K.Sell82.13K$20.731.70M
2026-09-01Wright David K.Sell27.37K$20.73567.38K
2026-08-11Beesley JasonBuy100.00K——
2007-01-24MIDDLEMAS GEORGE MBuy50.00K$0.4020.00K

Institutional holders

Latest filed quarter: Q2 2026.

Institutions holding: 152, holders +60 vs prior quarter. Ownership 36.60%.

HolderSharesChangeChange %Value
KNOX LANE LP18.98M-9.20M-32.65%478.02M
WASATCH ADVISORS LP3.14M692.74K+28.36%78.97M
BLACKROCK, INC.2.44M2.10M+618.98%61.41M
VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC2.04M1.20M+142.79%51.31M
LOOMIS SAYLES & CO L P1.98M7.66K+0.39%49.83M
LORD, ABBETT & CO. LLC1.98M1.38M+230.00%49.80M
ALLSPRING GLOBAL INVESTMENTS HOLDINGS, LLC1.81M-293.16K-13.95%47.89M
NORGES BANK1.88M1.88MNew47.43M
CAPITAL WORLD INVESTORS1.80M49.08K+2.80%45.32M
ALYESKA INVESTMENT GROUP, L.P.1.77M-954.54K-35.08%44.50M
WESTFIELD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT CO LP1.66M483.28K+41.20%41.72M
VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC1.61M629.14K+64.00%40.61M
JPMORGAN CHASE & CO1.33M1.32M+9196.51%32.57M
INVESCO LTD.1.10M1.10MNew27.60M
MILLENNIUM MANAGEMENT LLC1.09M664.53K+155.69%27.49M
BNP PARIBAS FINANCIAL MARKETS1.08M1.03M+1809.98%27.26M
BANK OF AMERICA CORP /DE/981.28K839.53K+592.25%24.72M
JACOBS LEVY EQUITY MANAGEMENT, INC969.39K969.39KNew24.42M
GILDER GAGNON HOWE & CO LLC928.70K928.70KNew23.39M
D. E. SHAW & CO., INC.912.92K912.92KNew23.00M
CITADEL ADVISORS LLC898.69K887.29K+7783.25%22.64M
GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC890.59K498.80K+127.31%22.44M
JANE STREET GROUP, LLC863.66K840.26K+3590.85%21.76M
STATE STREET CORP757.61K630.47K+495.91%19.07M
BLAIR WILLIAM & CO/IL703.58K703.58KNew17.72M

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Pattern Group Inc. Series A (PTRN) Stock Insights

PTRN$16.53+0.26 +1.60%

$2.57B

Market Cap

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P/E

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Forward P/E

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Score

Price History