Red Robin Gourmet Burgers (RRGB) Stock Insights
RRGB$8.99+0.80 +9.77%
$169.94M
Market Cap
-5.14
P/E
32.11
Forward P/E
30
Score
Red Robin Gourmet Burgers (RRGB) Stock Insights
RRGB price $8.99 +0.80 +9.77%
- Ticker
- RRGB
- Price
- $8.99
- Change
- +0.80 +9.77%
- Market cap ?
- $169.94M
- P/E ?
- -5.14
- Forward P/E ?
- 32.11
- Dividend yield ?
- 0.00%
- Beta ?
- 2.49
- Sector
- Consumer Cyclical
- Industry
- Restaurants
- Stocklytics score
- 30
- Value
- 44
- Quality
- 38
- Growth
- 8
Stocklytics score rationale: value 44, quality 38, growth 8.
Financials
| 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1296441000 | 1380929000 | 1338563000 | 1315014000 | 868715000 | 1161637000 | 1265534000 | 1303046000 | 1248560000 | 1210225000 |
Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc., along with its affiliated entities, is involved in the development, operation, and franchising of casual and full-service restaurant concepts. Its establishments are renowned for their signature gourmet burgers and pizzas designed for sharing. Beyond these core offerings, the menu presents a wide array of selections, including appetizers (such as wings), fresh salads, hearty soups…
Fair value
RRGB fair value $8.03. Price $8.99. Price is 12% above fair value.
Fair value is an estimate of what one share is worth if future cash flows arrive as modeled. It is not a forecast of the share price. How discounted cash flow works.
Calculated with a 10-year free-cash-flow discount. Starting free cash flow 68.74M. Growth 0.00%. When analyst earnings forecasts are available, free cash flow in those years is forecast earnings times the company's usual conversion of earnings into free cash flow, kept between 60% and 130%. Years with fewer than 3 analyst estimates are left out. Growth then fades in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10, starting from the last well-covered year's growth, or from the pace across those years when the final year slows sharply, kept between 0% and 20%. Without those forecasts, year-1 growth is analyst revenue growth for the next full fiscal year, or 5-year historical revenue growth when that forecast is missing, held for five years, then fading in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10. Terminal growth 3.00%. Discount rate 12.00% (beta 2.0). Beta is kept between 0.8 and 2.0, which on its own would make the discount rate 8.7% to 15.3%. The rate is then capped at 12%. A cap is used because a discount above 12% pushes higher-beta stocks further from the price. The discount rate stays at least 5 percentage points above terminal growth. Shares 18.90M. Net debt 495.07M. The earnings value is next-12-months earnings per share, or trailing earnings when that forecast is missing, times the median P/E of the company's industry. That median uses listed stocks worth at least $10 billion with a positive P/E of 100 or below, and the industry needs at least eight of them. Otherwise the sector median is used when that group also has at least eight, then the market median of those large companies. The multiple used is the lower of that median and 1.25 times the stock's own 10-year median P/E, then kept between 8 and 30. If the stock has no 10-year median, the peer median is kept between 8 and 30. Fair value is the average of the cash-flow value and the earnings value when both exist. Card and credit companies use the earnings value only, because changes in customer receivables distort free cash flow. Model uncertainty is high when fair value is more than 60% from the price, or when most of the cash-flow value sits after year 10.
Earnings
| Date | EPS actual | EPS estimate | Revenue | Revenue estimate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-04 | — | -0.36 | — | 251.67M |
| 2026-08-12 | 0.12 | 0.00 | 277.64M | 268.56M |
| 2026-05-19 | 0.13 | 0.21 | 378.26M | 273.28M |
| 2026-02-25 | -0.41 | -0.28 | 269.04M | 264.26M |
| 2025-11-10 | -0.70 | -0.78 | 265.13M | 264.26M |
| 2025-08-13 | 0.26 | -0.25 | 283.70M | 259.17M |
| 2025-05-29 | 0.19 | -0.57 | 392.35M | 388.77M |
| 2025-02-26 | -0.94 | -0.50 | 285.23M | 392.46M |
| 2024-11-06 | -1.13 | -0.87 | 274.64M | 279.32M |
| 2024-08-22 | -0.48 | -0.41 | 300.15M | 294.36M |
| 2024-05-29 | -0.80 | -0.41 | 388.54M | 392.73M |
| 2024-02-28 | -0.66 | -0.43 | 309.02M | 304.97M |
| 2023-11-01 | -0.79 | -0.81 | 277.56M | 306.60M |
| 2023-08-17 | -0.24 | -0.55 | 298.65M | 295.26M |
| 2023-05-24 | 0.25 | -0.62 | 417.97M | 405.58M |
| 2023-02-28 | -1.35 | -0.66 | 290.09M | 289.01M |
| 2022-11-02 | -1.03 | -1.30 | 286.81M | 282.12M |
| 2022-08-10 | -0.75 | -0.12 | 294.09M | — |
| 2022-05-26 | -0.12 | -0.68 | 395.55M | 653.47M |
| 2022-03-10 | -1.03 | -0.57 | 283.38M | 287.51M |
| 2021-11-10 | -0.88 | -0.45 | 275.44M | 279.74M |
| 2021-08-18 | -0.22 | 0.07 | 276.98M | 276.90M |
| 2021-05-25 | -0.30 | -1.24 | 326.27M | 304.65M |
| 2021-03-03 | -1.79 | -1.29 | 201.05M | 222.83M |
| 2020-11-05 | -0.19 | -1.36 | 200.48M | 206.19M |
| 2020-08-11 | -3.31 | -2.97 | 161.12M | 159.17M |
| 2020-06-10 | -6.66 | -1.61 | 306.06M | 50.55M |
| 2020-02-25 | -0.36 | -0.29 | 302.94M | 297.71M |
| 2019-11-05 | -0.24 | -0.22 | 294.22M | 269.70M |
| 2019-08-23 | 1.03 | 0.31 | 307.98M | 92.69M |
| 2019-05-30 | 0.19 | 0.48 | 409.87M | 1.06B |
| 2019-02-26 | 0.43 | 0.38 | 306.78M | 271.11M |
| 2018-11-06 | 0.16 | 0.11 | 294.88M | 202.73M |
| 2018-08-21 | 0.46 | 0.46 | 315.39M | 329.11M |
| 2018-05-22 | 0.69 | 0.74 | 421.52M | 464.26M |
| 2018-02-22 | 0.78 | 0.54 | 342.35M | 238.08M |
| 2017-11-06 | 0.21 | 0.29 | 304.25M | 422.16M |
| 2017-08-08 | 0.61 | 0.52 | 315.77M | 270.49M |
| 2017-05-16 | 0.89 | 0.57 | 420.63M | 269.37M |
| 2017-02-21 | 0.35 | 0.29 | 291.46M | 289.68M |
Dividends
Yield 0.00%. Payout ratio 0.00%. Frequency —.
Safety score 37/100 · Watch. Payout ratio is 0% of earnings. Free-cash-flow coverage is not available, so this part stays neutral. No dividend history was found. There is no dividend yield.
| Ex-date | Dividend | Record | Payment | Frequency |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No data yet. | ||||
Insider trades
| Date | Insider | Action | Shares | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 | McLaughlin John Charles | Sell | 618 | $7.95 | 4.91K |
| 2026-10-02 | McLaughlin John Charles | Sell | 208 | $7.95 | 1.65K |
| 2026-09-28 | Dutton Tiffany | Buy | 12.82K | — | — |
| 2026-09-22 | Kassem Humera | Sell | 1.80K | $7.47 | 13.45K |
| 2026-09-22 | Kassem Humera | Sell | 2.74K | $7.47 | 20.50K |
| 2026-09-21 | Dutton Tiffany | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-09-15 | Hudler Scott | Buy | 11.16K | — | — |
| 2026-09-08 | Hudler Scott | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-08-05 | Kappitt Michael | Buy | 13.29K | — | — |
| 2026-07-24 | Kappitt Michael | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-06-01 | McLaughlin John Charles | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-06-01 | McLaughlin John Charles | Other | 26.49K | — | — |
| 2026-05-15 | Graff Mark E | Buy | 79.16K | — | — |
| 2026-05-14 | Ackil Anthony S | Buy | 31.66K | — | — |
| 2026-05-14 | Regan Nicole Miller | Buy | 31.66K | — | — |
| 2026-05-14 | Pappas James C | Buy | 31.66K | — | — |
| 2026-05-14 | Martin Christopher Ross | Buy | 31.66K | — | — |
| 2026-05-14 | Varnado Anddria | Buy | 31.66K | — | — |
| 2026-05-14 | LUMPKIN STEVE | Buy | 31.66K | — | — |
| 2026-05-04 | Graff Mark E | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-04-06 | Griffith Jesse | Sell | 1.01K | $3.03 | 3.05K |
| 2026-03-24 | Mussetter Sarah A. | Sell | 8.39K | $3.08 | 25.84K |
| 2026-03-24 | Griffith Jesse | Sell | 3.28K | $3.08 | 10.11K |
| 2026-03-23 | Mussetter Sarah A. | Sell | 2.91K | $3.12 | 9.09K |
| 2026-03-23 | Mussetter Sarah A. | Buy | 69.35K | — | — |
| 2026-03-23 | Griffith Jesse | Sell | 839 | $3.12 | 2.62K |
| 2026-03-23 | Griffith Jesse | Buy | 38.64K | — | — |
| 2026-03-23 | PACE DAVID | Buy | 250.00K | — | — |
| 2026-03-23 | PACE DAVID | Buy | 250.00K | — | — |
| 2026-03-23 | Kassem Humera | Buy | 34.09K | — | — |
| 2026-03-16 | Mussetter Sarah A. | Sell | 4.04K | $3.21 | 12.96K |
| 2026-03-16 | Griffith Jesse | Sell | 1.40K | $3.21 | 4.50K |
| 2026-02-19 | Griffith Jesse | Sell | 1.03K | $3.32 | 3.41K |
| 2026-02-19 | Mussetter Sarah A. | Sell | 3.02K | $3.32 | 10.04K |
| 2026-02-17 | Griffith Jesse | Buy | 2.04K | — | — |
| 2026-02-17 | Mussetter Sarah A. | Buy | 6.18K | — | — |
| 2025-12-09 | Mussetter Sarah A. | Sell | 2.80K | $3.88 | 10.86K |
| 2025-12-01 | Meyer Christopher Adkins | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2025-11-17 | Wilson Joshua Todd | Sell | 6.01K | $4.15 | 24.96K |
| 2025-11-03 | Griffith Jesse | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2025-09-22 | Kassem Humera | Buy | 23.41K | — | — |
| 2025-09-22 | Kassem Humera | Buy | 7.68K | — | — |
| 2025-09-15 | Kassem Humera | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2025-08-22 | Martin Christopher Ross | Buy | 34.65K | $6.29 | 217.85K |
| 2025-08-21 | Martin Christopher Ross | Buy | 18.35K | $6.14 | 112.62K |
| 2025-06-20 | Ackil Anthony S | Buy | 14.91K | $5.03 | 75.00K |
| 2025-05-22 | Varnado Anddria | Buy | 41.38K | — | — |
| 2025-05-22 | Pappas James C | Buy | 41.38K | — | — |
| 2025-05-22 | Page Allison A. | Buy | 41.38K | — | — |
| 2025-05-22 | Regan Nicole Miller | Buy | 41.38K | — | — |
| 2025-05-22 | Martin Christopher Ross | Buy | 41.38K | — | — |
| 2025-05-22 | LUMPKIN STEVE | Buy | 41.38K | — | — |
| 2025-05-22 | Conforti Thomas G. | Buy | 41.38K | — | — |
| 2025-05-22 | Ackil Anthony S | Buy | 41.38K | — | — |
| 2025-04-24 | PACE DAVID | Buy | 250.00K | — | — |
| 2025-03-24 | Arnell Brenden Robyn | Buy | 23.27K | — | — |
| 2025-03-24 | Hart Gerard Johan | Buy | 431.03K | — | — |
| 2025-03-24 | Hart Gerard Johan | Sell | 8.63K | $4.16 | 35.89K |
| 2025-03-24 | Mussetter Sarah A. | Buy | 57.54K | — | — |
| 2025-03-24 | Mussetter Sarah A. | Sell | 919 | $4.16 | 3.82K |
| 2025-03-24 | Wilson Joshua Todd | Buy | 94.29K | — | — |
| 2025-03-24 | Wilson Joshua Todd | Sell | 932 | $4.16 | 3.88K |
| 2025-03-24 | Spuler Meghan | Buy | 28.29K | — | — |
| 2025-03-21 | Hart Gerard Johan | Sell | 10.42K | $4.16 | 43.34K |
| 2025-03-21 | Mussetter Sarah A. | Sell | 1.11K | $4.16 | 4.61K |
| 2025-03-21 | Wilson Joshua Todd | Sell | 1.12K | $4.16 | 4.68K |
| 2025-03-17 | Arnell Brenden Robyn | Sell | 523 | $4.39 | 2.30K |
| 2025-03-17 | Spuler Meghan | Sell | 777 | $4.39 | 3.41K |
| 2025-03-17 | Mussetter Sarah A. | Sell | 1.29K | $4.39 | 5.69K |
| 2025-03-17 | Wilson Joshua Todd | Sell | 1.71K | $4.39 | 7.52K |
| 2025-03-17 | Hart Gerard Johan | Sell | 11.47K | $4.39 | 50.34K |
| 2025-03-14 | Arnell Brenden Robyn | Sell | 547 | $4.46 | 2.44K |
| 2025-03-14 | Spuler Meghan | Sell | 812 | $4.46 | 3.62K |
| 2025-03-14 | Mussetter Sarah A. | Sell | 1.35K | $4.46 | 6.04K |
| 2025-03-14 | Wilson Joshua Todd | Sell | 1.79K | $4.46 | 8.00K |
| 2025-03-14 | Hart Gerard Johan | Sell | 12.00K | $4.46 | 53.51K |
| 2024-12-18 | Spuler Meghan | Sell | 402 | $4.82 | 1.94K |
| 2024-12-10 | Martin Christopher Ross | Buy | 10.57K | — | — |
| 2024-12-10 | Pappas James C | Buy | 10.57K | — | — |
| 2024-12-08 | Mussetter Sarah A. | Sell | 1.82K | $5.59 | 10.20K |
| 2024-12-03 | Jumana Capital Investments LLC | Buy | 800.45K | $5.19 | 4.15M |
| 2024-12-03 | JCP Investment Management, LLC | Buy | 592.91K | $5.19 | 3.08M |
| 2024-12-03 | JCP Investment Management, LLC | Buy | 207.55K | $5.19 | 1.08M |
| 2024-11-14 | Wilson Joshua Todd | Sell | 5.95K | $5.13 | 30.54K |
| 2024-11-07 | Jumana Capital Investments LLC | Buy | 45.00K | $5.18 | 233.25K |
| 2024-11-07 | JCP Investment Management, LLC | Buy | 26.48K | $5.18 | 137.24K |
| 2024-11-07 | JCP Investment Management, LLC | Buy | 18.52K | $5.18 | 96.01K |
| 2024-11-05 | Jumana Capital Investments LLC | Buy | 250 | $5.99 | 1.50K |
| 2024-11-05 | JCP Investment Management, LLC | Buy | 153 | $5.99 | 916 |
| 2024-11-05 | JCP Investment Management, LLC | Buy | 97 | $5.99 | 581 |
| 2024-10-16 | Jumana Capital Investments LLC | Buy | 36.87K | $5.79 | 213.60K |
| 2024-10-16 | JCP Investment Management, LLC | Buy | 21.99K | $5.79 | 127.39K |
| 2024-10-16 | JCP Investment Management, LLC | Buy | 54.88K | $5.79 | 317.95K |
| 2024-10-15 | Jumana Capital Investments LLC | Buy | 893 | $5.59 | 5.00K |
| 2024-10-15 | JCP Investment Management, LLC | Buy | 524 | $5.59 | 2.93K |
| 2024-10-15 | JCP Investment Management, LLC | Buy | 369 | $5.59 | 2.06K |
| 2024-10-14 | Jumana Capital Investments LLC | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2024-10-14 | JCP Investment Management, LLC | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2024-10-14 | JCP Investment Management, LLC | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2024-09-13 | Hart Gerard Johan | Sell | 18.05K | $3.26 | 58.84K |
Institutional holders
Latest filed quarter: Q2 2026.
Institutions holding: 72, holders +11 vs prior quarter. Ownership 51.73%.
| Holder | Shares | Change | Change % | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JCP INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT, LLC | 1.91M | 41.38K | +2.21% | 15.28M |
| PACIFIC RIDGE CAPITAL PARTNERS, LLC | 1.78M | -13.82K | -0.77% | 14.22M |
| BANDERA PARTNERS LLC | 1.35M | 0 | 0.00% | 10.79M |
| VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | 662.59K | 4.27K | +0.65% | 5.29M |
| COPPELL ADVISORY SOLUTIONS LLC | 20 | 20 | New | 5.26M |
| MINK BROOK ASSET MANAGEMENT LLC | 416.21K | 19.49K | +4.91% | 3.33M |
| WELLINGTON MANAGEMENT GROUP LLP | 347.75K | 347.75K | New | 2.78M |
| BLACKROCK, INC. | 298.09K | 12.40K | +4.34% | 2.38M |
| CITADEL ADVISORS LLC | 209.81K | 209.81K | New | 1.68M |
| GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | 192.41K | -3.71K | -1.89% | 1.54M |
| TWO SIGMA INVESTMENTS, LP | 185.11K | 185.11K | New | 1.48M |
| JANE STREET GROUP, LLC | 183.20K | 166.00K | +965.13% | 1.46M |
| COMMONWEALTH EQUITY SERVICES, LLC | 182.19K | 10.63K | +6.20% | 1.46M |
| AYAL CAPITAL ADVISORS LTD | 179.94K | 179.94K | New | 1.44M |
| US BANCORP \DE\ | 155.37K | 155.37K | New | 1.24M |
| CRAWFORD FUND MANAGEMENT, LLC | 150.00K | 90.00K | +150.00% | 1.20M |
| GATEPASS CAPITAL, LLC | 148.00K | 0 | 0.00% | 1.18M |
| D. E. SHAW & CO., INC. | 145.72K | -86.74K | -37.31% | 1.16M |
| RENAISSANCE TECHNOLOGIES LLC | 118.16K | -45.68K | -27.88% | 944.13K |
| CASTLEKNIGHT MANAGEMENT LP | 104.84K | 0 | 0.00% | 837.64K |
| VANGUARD FIDUCIARY TRUST CO | 101.51K | 10.44K | +11.46% | 811.04K |
| WESTERN STANDARD LLC | 88.42K | 88.42K | New | 706.46K |
| STATE STREET CORP | 79.79K | 0 | 0.00% | 637.50K |
| FULLER & THALER ASSET MANAGEMENT, INC. | 74.89K | -645 | -0.85% | 598.37K |
| DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP | 63.17K | 28.15K | +80.40% | 504.25K |
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