Vera Bradley (VRA) Stock Insights

VRA price $6.38 +0.30 +4.93%

Ticker
VRA
Price
$6.38
Change
+0.30 +4.93%
Market cap ?
$183.03M
Beta ?
1.50
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Industry
Apparel - Footwear & Accessories

Fair value

VRA fair value $1.91. Price $6.38. Price is 233% above fair value.

Above fair value, and more expensive than usual. A larger premium than on more than 99% of days in the past 5 years.

Fair value is an estimate of what one share is worth if future cash flows arrive as modeled. It is not a forecast of the share price. How discounted cash flow works.

Calculated with a 10-year free-cash-flow discount. Average free cash flow, last three years 9.94M. Growth 0.00%. When analyst earnings forecasts are available, free cash flow in those years is forecast earnings times the company's usual conversion of earnings into free cash flow, kept between 60% and 130%. Years with fewer than 3 analyst estimates are left out. Growth then fades in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10, starting from the last well-covered year's growth, or from the pace across those years when the final year slows sharply, kept between 0% and 20%. Without those forecasts, year-1 growth is analyst revenue growth for the next full fiscal year, or 5-year historical revenue growth when that forecast is missing, held for five years, then fading in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10. Terminal growth 3.00%. Discount rate 12.00% (beta 1.5). Beta is kept between 0.8 and 2.0, which on its own would make the discount rate 8.7% to 15.3%. The rate is then capped at 12%. A cap is used because a discount above 12% pushes higher-beta stocks further from the price. The discount rate stays at least 5 percentage points above terminal growth. Shares 28.69M. Net debt 52.02M. The earnings value is next-12-months earnings per share, or trailing earnings when that forecast is missing, times the median P/E of the company's industry. That median uses listed stocks worth at least $10 billion with a positive P/E of 100 or below, and the industry needs at least eight of them. Otherwise the sector median is used when that group also has at least eight, then the market median of those large companies. The multiple used is the lower of that median and 1.25 times the stock's own 10-year median P/E, then kept between 8 and 30. If the stock has no 10-year median, the peer median is kept between 8 and 30. Fair value is the average of the cash-flow value and the earnings value when both exist. Card and credit companies use the earnings value only, because changes in customer receivables distort free cash flow. Model uncertainty is high when fair value is more than 60% from the price, or when most of the cash-flow value sits after year 10.

Model uncertainty high for this stock

Compare VRA

Earnings

DateEPS actualEPS estimateRevenueRevenue estimate
2026-12-10—-0.20—57.12M
2026-09-150.11-0.0871.65M65.95M
2026-06-11-0.09-0.3355.70M49.12M
2026-03-120.090.0184.89M79.73M
2025-12-11-0.30-0.1162.25M61.69M
2025-09-11-0.02-0.1570.86M78.52M
2025-06-11-0.36-0.1351.65M53.48M
2025-03-12-0.300.1099.96M107.94M
2024-12-11-0.270.0680.58M98.70M
2024-09-110.130.17110.82M120.66M
2024-06-12-0.210.1180.60M90.39M
2024-03-130.110.14133.26M136.05M
2023-12-060.190.09114.99M123.09M
2023-08-300.330.12128.17M130.95M
2023-06-07-0.09-0.2094.36M99.68M
2023-03-080.160.15147.09M137.51M
2022-12-070.200.09124.04M119.33M
2022-08-310.080.13130.37M132.51M
2022-06-08-0.19-0.1698.46M109.87M
2022-03-090.170.23149.58M155.43M
2021-12-080.180.26134.74M157.60M
2021-09-010.280.33147.05M169.33M
2021-06-09-0.05-0.20109.09M171.82M
2021-03-100.310.39142.37M386.04M
2020-12-090.300.24124.85M86.85M
2020-09-020.32-0.07131.77M28.82M
2020-06-03-0.31-0.2769.28M60.34M
2020-03-110.420.52156.92M194.29M
2019-12-110.200.18127.50M114.75M
2019-09-040.250.27119.78M129.37M
2019-06-05-0.07-0.0791.00M127.40M
2019-03-130.250.24118.19M113.47M
2018-12-120.120.1697.69M130.25M
2018-09-050.260.16113.62M69.91M
2018-06-06-0.04-0.1086.59M216.50M
2018-03-140.330.32132.00M128.00M
2017-12-060.230.14114.09M100.86M
2017-08-300.130.10112.42M86.46M
2017-05-31-0.09-0.1396.14M138.81M
2017-03-080.100.23134.85M344.49M

Dividends

Yield 0.00%. Payout ratio 0.00%. Frequency —.

Safety score 37/100 · Watch. Payout ratio is 0% of earnings. Free-cash-flow coverage is not available, so this part stays neutral. No dividend history was found. There is no dividend yield.

Ex-dateDividendRecordPaymentFrequency
No data yet.

Insider trades

DateInsiderActionSharesPriceValue
2026-10-06Brockman IvanBuy10.00K$5.0250.20K
2026-09-25Brockman IvanBuy2.50K$4.0010.00K
2026-07-03Bickley IanSell30.27K$3.91118.37K
2026-06-24Dely Mark CSell13.71K$3.8452.64K
2026-06-12Bickley IanBuy28.90K$3.87111.85K
2026-06-12Layding MartinSell13.99K$3.4648.40K
2026-06-12Layding MartinSell29.38K$3.46101.64K
2026-06-12Meslow AndrewBuy24.93K$3.7392.97K
2026-06-08Dely Mark CBuy9.11K——
2026-06-08Dely Mark CSell2.91K$3.088.97K
2026-06-08Dely Mark CSell1.01K$3.083.10K
2026-04-05Dely Mark CSell4.17K$3.3914.15K
2026-04-04Dely Mark CSell9.85K$3.3933.37K
2026-04-04Bickley IanSell15.46K$3.3952.43K
2026-04-03Rodriguez JessicaBuy25.07K——
2026-04-03CASHMAN KRISTINA KBuy25.07K——
2026-04-03Layding MartinBuy88.50K——
2026-04-03Hall Robert JBuy25.07K——
2026-04-03Tharp CarrieBuy25.07K——
2026-04-03Paraie MelindaBuy73.75K——
2026-04-03Meslow AndrewBuy25.07K——
2026-04-03Brockman IvanBuy25.07K——
2026-04-03Bickley IanBuy221.24K——
2026-03-31Dely Mark CBuy22.11K——
2026-03-31Dely Mark CSell9.22K$3.0227.85K
2026-03-31Dely Mark CSell3.48K$3.0210.52K
2026-03-12Bickley IanBuy147.93K——
2026-03-12Bickley IanBuy147.93K$3.38500.00K
2025-12-15Meslow AndrewBuy50.00K$1.9396.45K
2025-12-12Paraie MelindaBuy269.23K$1.95525.00K
2025-12-12Meslow AndrewBuy250.00K$1.98493.75K
2025-12-12Bickley IanBuy53.00K$1.94103.03K
2025-12-12Bickley IanBuy461.54K$1.95900.00K
2025-12-09Dely Mark CSell7.45K$2.1115.73K
2025-11-17Brockman IvanOther0——
2025-11-01Paraie MelindaOther0——
2025-07-03Bickley IanBuy233.46K——
2025-06-24Dely Mark CBuy128.75K$2.33300.00K
2025-06-18Byrne James BradleyBuy23.67K$2.1951.85K
2025-06-18Hall Joan B.Buy23.67K$2.1951.85K
2025-06-18Hall Robert JBuy23.67K$2.1951.85K
2025-06-18Ray Anne MarieBuy23.67K$2.1951.85K
2025-06-18Ray Michael C.Buy23.67K$2.1951.85K
2025-06-18Byrne Thomas Farrell IIBuy23.67K$2.1951.85K
2025-06-18Barbara B. Baekgaard 2009 Grantor Retained Annuity TrustBuy23.67K$2.1951.85K
2025-06-17Byrne James BradleyBuy30.99K$2.3974.07K
2025-06-17Hall Joan B.Buy30.99K$2.3974.07K
2025-06-17Hall Robert JBuy30.99K$2.3974.07K
2025-06-17Ray Anne MarieBuy30.99K$2.3974.07K
2025-06-17Ray Michael C.Buy30.99K$2.3974.07K
2025-06-17Byrne Thomas Farrell IIBuy30.99K$2.3974.07K
2025-06-17Barbara B. Baekgaard 2009 Grantor Retained Annuity TrustBuy30.99K$2.3974.07K
2025-06-16Byrne James BradleyBuy37.85K$2.0778.34K
2025-06-16Hall Joan B.Buy37.85K$2.0778.34K
2025-06-16Hall Robert JBuy37.85K$2.0778.34K
2025-06-16Ray Anne MarieBuy37.85K$2.0778.34K
2025-06-16Ray Michael C.Buy37.85K$2.0778.34K
2025-06-16Byrne Thomas Farrell IIBuy37.85K$2.0778.34K
2025-06-16Barbara B. Baekgaard 2009 Grantor Retained Annuity TrustBuy37.85K$2.0778.34K
2025-06-12Layding MartinBuy414.44K——
2025-06-12Layding MartinBuy414.44K$1.87775.00K
2025-06-12Layding MartinOther0——
2025-06-12Meslow AndrewBuy253.09K$1.88474.55K
2025-06-12Bickley IanBuy53.72K$1.8699.92K
2025-06-08Dely Mark CSell1.17K$2.142.49K
2025-05-08Schwindle MichaelSell12.90K$1.8824.25K
2025-04-25Fund 1 Investments, LLCOther0——
2025-04-05Ardrey JacquelineSell10.41K$2.1322.17K
2025-04-05Schwindle MichaelSell5.25K$2.1311.19K
2025-04-05Dely Mark CSell3.68K$2.137.83K
2025-04-05Hiatt AlisonSell3.81K$2.138.10K
2025-04-04Rodriguez JessicaBuy39.91K——
2025-04-04Meslow AndrewBuy39.91K——
2025-04-04Tharp CarrieBuy39.91K——
2025-04-04CASHMAN KRISTINA KBuy39.91K——
2025-04-04Hall Robert JBuy39.91K——
2025-04-04Philip Frances PBuy39.91K——
2025-04-04Ardrey JacquelineBuy164.32K——
2025-04-04Schwindle MichaelBuy93.90K——
2025-04-04Dely Mark CBuy70.42K——
2025-04-04Hiatt AlisonBuy70.42K——
2025-04-04Bickley IanBuy39.91K——
2025-04-04Miller Patricia R.Buy2.50M——
2025-04-04Miller Patricia R.Sell2.50M——
2025-04-04Miller P. MichaelBuy2.50M——
2025-04-04Miller P. MichaelSell2.50M——
2025-04-01Dely Mark CBuy13.83K——
2025-04-01Dely Mark CSell5.89K$2.2513.26K
2025-04-01Dely Mark CSell2.92K$2.256.57K
2025-03-31Hiatt AlisonSell2.66K$2.316.14K
2025-03-31Dely Mark CSell3.23K$2.317.47K
2025-02-07Meslow AndrewOther0——
2024-12-11Fund 1 Investments, LLCOther0——
2024-12-11Fund 1 Investments, LLCOther2.76M——
2024-12-09Dely Mark CSell8.57K$5.6548.44K
2024-11-01Bickley IanOther0——
2024-11-01Ardrey JacquelineSell43.34K$5.01217.13K
2024-06-08Dely Mark CSell1.36K$7.8110.65K
2024-06-05Miller P. MichaelOther0——
2024-06-05Miller P. MichaelOther0——

Institutional holders

Latest filed quarter: Q2 2026.

Institutions holding: 69, holders -7 vs prior quarter. Ownership 37.99%.

HolderSharesChangeChange %Value
ROYCE & ASSOCIATES LP1.29M692.07K+115.93%5.01M
ARROWSTREET CAPITAL, LIMITED PARTNERSHIP1.03M-6.95K-0.67%4.01M
VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC853.86K-160.18K-15.80%3.32M
DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP810.96K-130.05K-13.82%3.15M
PEAPOD LANE CAPITAL LLC684.77K-149.34K-17.90%2.66M
AMERICAN CENTURY COMPANIES INC579.04K72.67K+14.35%2.25M
MARSHALL WACE, LLP501.40K-305.56K-37.87%1.95M
BLACKROCK, INC.433.30K23.98K+5.86%1.69M
TWO SIGMA INVESTMENTS, LP385.36K78.58K+25.62%1.50M
JANE STREET GROUP, LLC322.93K-84.88K-20.81%1.26M
BRIDGEWAY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC316.13K5.06K+1.63%1.23M
ACADIAN ASSET MANAGEMENT LLC268.05K123.71K+85.70%1.04M
CITADEL ADVISORS LLC248.80K175.00K+237.12%967.82K
GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC242.84K-12.62K-4.94%945.47K
RENAISSANCE TECHNOLOGIES LLC227.52K5.80K+2.62%885.04K
GILDER GAGNON HOWE & CO LLC227.23K143.98K+172.95%883.94K
UBS GROUP AG198.94K-55.92K-21.94%773.87K
LUXOR CAPITAL GROUP, LP193.00K00.00%750.76K
SABA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P.179.90K-110.11K-37.97%699.79K
KLINGMAN & ASSOCIATES, LLC160.06K53.34K+49.98%622.65K
VANGUARD FIDUCIARY TRUST CO131.07K859+0.66%509.86K
IMPALA ASSET MANAGEMENT LLC125.00K125.00KNew486.25K
MORGAN STANLEY118.59K26.30K+28.50%461.32K
CENTIVA CAPITAL, LP113.30K-70.15K-38.24%440.75K
STATE STREET CORP103.59K00.00%402.95K

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Vera Bradley (VRA) Stock Insights

VRA$6.38+0.30 +4.93%

$183.03M

Market Cap

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P/E

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Forward P/E

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Score

Price History